Atlético Nacional vs Jaguares de Córdoba: match statistics
Atlético Nacional vs Jaguares de Córdoba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play Jaguares de Córdoba in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 7 April 2026 at 03:10. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Jaguares de Córdoba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Jaguares de Córdoba scores 1.05 and concedes 1.74. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 40%, Jaguares de Córdoba 53%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 64%, Jaguares de Córdoba 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.11. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, Jaguares de Córdoba: 11.1.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.36. Jaguares de Córdoba: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Jaguares de Córdoba: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Atlético Nacional are clear favorites: at home they score on average 2.57 goals per game (28 goals this season) and have an average xG of 1.97 in home matches, while Jaguares de Córdoba manage only 0.43 goals away (13 goals this season) with xG 1.01. Defensively the hosts are significantly better — Atlético concedes on average 0.29 goals at their stadium and keep a clean sheet in 71% of home games, whereas Jaguares concede 2.43 goals per away game and have not recorded a single shutout on the road (0% clean sheets). The difference in quality of chances is large: Atlético average 19 shots and 7.29 shots on target per home match with a conversion rate of 14%, while Jaguares average 10.29 shots and only 2.86 on target away with a 4% conversion and 57% of away matches without scoring. Form confirms these numbers — hosts in the last 5 matches have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss with an average of 2.0 points per game, visitors have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses with an average of 0.8 points per game. Considering the home goal difference advantage (+16) versus the visitors (-14), the high home win rate (86% at home) and the visitors’ zero away win rate (0%), I tip a home win; suggested probabilities are 80% for 1, 12% for X and 8% for 2.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Jaguares de Córdoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.4 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 87% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.05 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Atlético Nacional is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.74 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Jaguares de Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Jaguares de Córdoba scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
Over / Under — Jaguares de Córdoba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.89 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Jaguares de Córdoba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Jaguares de Córdoba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Jaguares de Córdoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 2:1 Jaguares de Córdoba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
Atlético Nacional score 1.96 goals per game on average and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.05. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 53% of Jaguares de Córdoba's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Jaguares de Córdoba in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Jaguares de Córdoba 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
The statistical background for Atlético Nacional vs Jaguares de Córdoba — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.