Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC: match statistics
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Ottawa played against HFX Wanderers FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Atlético Ottawa has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. HFX Wanderers FC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Ottawa scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 2.00. HFX Wanderers FC scores 1.40 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Atlético Ottawa's games and 80% of HFX Wanderers FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 80%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Ottawa has the higher season xG average, 0.95 to 0.90 per game. Atlético Ottawa takes 7.2 shots per game, while HFX Wanderers FC takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Ottawa leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. HFX Wanderers FC leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Ottawa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For HFX Wanderers FC, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Canadian Premier League games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Ottawa holds a clear advantage in possession and chance creation: averaging 66% possession and 11 shots per home match versus HFX’s 42% possession and 8 shots on the road. This translates to higher expected goals — the hosts have an average xG of 1.45 at home, while HFX have just 0.76 away, with xG against 1.64 for Ottawa versus 2.00 for the Wanderers. In the last 5 matches Atlético have scored 7 goals and average 1.4 points per game, whereas HFX have scored 6, conceded 13 and average only 0.4 points per game with 0 wins in that period. The visitors, however, are more efficient in shot conversion (17% vs 9%) and average 1.33 goals away, and both teams have no goalless matches (FTS 0%). Considering the superiority in possession, shot volume, higher xG and better form (2 wins in the last 5 vs 0), the probability favors a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong BTTS signal: Atlético Ottawa has 100% of matches with both teams scoring this season, HFX Wanderers has 67% season BTTS, and both teams recorded 80% BTTS in their last 5 matches. Both sides consistently concede — Ottawa concedes on average 2.5 goals this season and 1.8 in the last 5, while HFX concedes 1.33 this season and as many as 2.6 in the last 5 matches. Ottawa generates more chances (xG 1.19 vs 0.76, 13.0 shots vs 8.0 and 4.5 shots on target vs 2.67), so they have a real chance to score despite a lower conversion rate (12% vs 17%). Ottawa has no clean sheets (season CS 0%) versus 33% CS for HFX and a high Over2.5 rate (100% for Ottawa, 67% for HFX), which further increases the likelihood both sides will score. Based on this I rate BTTS 'Yes' 85% and 'No' 15% as the most likely pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.60 expected goals for Atlético Ottawa and 1.22 for HFX Wanderers, totaling 2.82 xG, which in itself favors Over. Atlético concede on average 2.5 goals at home and have a season-long BTTS of 100%; HFX as visitors have BTTS 67%, so both teams frequently find the net. Ottawa averages 13 shots and 4.5 on target with xG_for 1.19, HFX averages 8 shots and 2.67 on target with xG_for 0.76; the home side’s weak defense (xG_against 1.67) increases goal potential. Season percentages show 100% Over 1.5 and 100% Over 2.5 for the hosts and 67% Over 1.5 and 67% Over 2.5 for the visitors, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.82 yields ~77% for Over 1.5, ~54% for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5; hence the recommendation: Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half stats clearly show an away lead at the break: Atlético Ottawa trailed at half-time in 2 of 2 home matches, i.e. 100% (trailingAtHTPercentage_home = 100.0), and HFX has already scored in the 0–15 min window (goals_scored_min_0_to_15_away = 1.0). However, Ottawa demonstrates strong second-half performance — they score an average of 1.5 goals after the break (scored_2hg_avg_home = 1.5) and in 100% of matches there is a goal after half-time (over05_2hg_percentage_home = 100.0), while HFX concedes on average 0.67 goals after the break (conceded_2hg_avg_away = 0.67), which increases the chance of a turnaround. Additionally, the hosts generate more high-quality chances: xG 1.19 versus 0.76 (xg_for_avg_home = 1.19, xg_for_avg_away = 0.76) and 4.5 shots on target versus 2.67 (shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 4.5, shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 2.67), supporting a comeback. In terms of form, Ottawa has a 40% win rate in the last 5 matches, while HFX have not won in that period (last5_winPercentage_overall_home = 40.0, last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 0.0), and both teams frequently score (hosts BTTS 100%, away BTTS 67%), so the strongest signal is HFX leading at half-time with a draw at full-time (2/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Ottawa | HFX Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
HFX Wanderers FC is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Atlético Ottawa · 1 pts / game - HFX Wanderers FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HFX Wanderers FC is 75% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Atlético Ottawa · 1.4 goals / game - HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Atlético Ottawa · 1.8 goals / game - HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while HFX Wanderers FC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
HFX Wanderers FC scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Ottawa
Over / Under - HFX Wanderers FC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Ottawa is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / game - Atlético Ottawa · 0.4 pts / game - HFX Wanderers FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Ottawa - second-half results
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
HFX Wanderers FC - second-half results
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Ottawa | Liga | HFX Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.80 | 2.45 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 55% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Ottawa's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against HFX Wanderers FC. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Atlético Ottawa 1:0 HFX Wanderers FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Ottawa and HFX Wanderers FC?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Ottawa won 2, HFX Wanderers FC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Atlético Ottawa score 0.80 goals per game on average and HFX Wanderers FC 1.40. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Atlético Ottawa's matches and 80% of HFX Wanderers FC's.
What form are Atlético Ottawa and HFX Wanderers FC in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Ottawa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and HFX Wanderers FC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The statistical background for Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.