Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC: match statistics
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Ottawa play HFX Wanderers FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. HFX Wanderers FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Ottawa scores 1.46 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. HFX Wanderers FC scores 1.29 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Ottawa 69%, HFX Wanderers FC 64%. Over 2.5: Atlético Ottawa 62%, HFX Wanderers FC 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Ottawa has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.06. Atlético Ottawa: 11.1 shots per match, HFX Wanderers FC: 9.1.
Match halves
Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.08. HFX Wanderers FC: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (9 goals). HFX Wanderers FC: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-1-1. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 40%.
Match description
Atlético Ottawa holds a clear advantage in possession and chance creation: averaging 66% possession and 11 shots per home match versus HFX’s 42% possession and 8 shots on the road. This translates to higher expected goals — the hosts have an average xG of 1.45 at home, while HFX have just 0.76 away, with xG against 1.64 for Ottawa versus 2.00 for the Wanderers. In the last 5 matches Atlético have scored 7 goals and average 1.4 points per game, whereas HFX have scored 6, conceded 13 and average only 0.4 points per game with 0 wins in that period. The visitors, however, are more efficient in shot conversion (17% vs 9%) and average 1.33 goals away, and both teams have no goalless matches (FTS 0%). Considering the superiority in possession, shot volume, higher xG and better form (2 wins in the last 5 vs 0), the probability favors a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Ottawa | HFX Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Ottawa is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.29 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa · 1.5 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while HFX Wanderers FC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
HFX Wanderers FC scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Ottawa
Over / Under — HFX Wanderers FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HFX Wanderers FC is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa · 0.93 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Ottawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
HFX Wanderers FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Ottawa | Liga | HFX Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 20% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 86% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Atlético Ottawa 3 - 1 - 1 HFX Wanderers FC. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Atlético Ottawa 1:0 HFX Wanderers FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Ottawa and HFX Wanderers FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Ottawa won 3, HFX Wanderers FC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Atlético Ottawa score 1.46 goals per game on average and HFX Wanderers FC 1.29. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Atlético Ottawa's matches and 64% of HFX Wanderers FC's.
What form are Atlético Ottawa and HFX Wanderers FC in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Ottawa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and HFX Wanderers FC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The statistical background for Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.