Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético PR played against Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on October 8, 2026. Venue: Arena de Baixada. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Atlético PR has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Atlético Mineiro has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético PR scores 1.54 goals per game and allows 1.14. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.32 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Atlético PR's games and 46% of Atlético Mineiro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 46%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético Mineiro has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.40 per game. Atlético PR takes 12.3 shots per game, while Atlético Mineiro takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético PR leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Mineiro leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético PR's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Atlético Mineiro, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR are the favorites: they have won 64% of their home matches and lost just 7%, while Atlético Mineiro have suffered defeat in 57% of their away games. The hosts average 1.79 goals scored at home from 1.58 xG, while the visitors score 0.93 goals away and fail to find the net in 57% of those matches. The gap in chance quality is reinforced by the defensive numbers: Atlético PR concede an average of 1.02 xG and 0.79 goals at home, whereas Atlético Mineiro allow opponents 1.70 xG away. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 wins for the hosts, but their away record points to an Atlético PR victory. Some caution is warranted, however, as the hosts have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last five matches, both teams scored in 100% of Atlético PR’s games and 60% of Atlético Mineiro’s, which supports BTTS - Yes. The hosts averaged 2.4 goals scored during this period, but also conceded 2.4, making their matches open at both ends. The visitors have recently averaged 1.8 goals from an xG of 1.66, while the hosts have allowed opponents chances worth 1.95 xG per match. There is significant risk attached to this pick: across the season, Atlético Mineiro failed to score in 57% of matches, and BTTS landed in only 29% of their games. However, the visitors’ more recent scoring form and the hosts’ defensive problems slightly outweigh this season-long warning sign.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlético PR score an average of 1.71 goals at home and generate an xG of 1.68, while Atlético Mineiro allow opponents an xG of 1.70. The hosts scored in 93% of their home matches, and the visitors conceded in 79% of their away games, strengthening the case for Atlético PR to score. The hosts’ last 5 matches produced an average of 4.8 goals, but the visitors failed to score in 57% of their away games, making the more demanding Over 2.5 goals line less certain. Over 1.5 goals landed in 79% of Atlético PR’s home matches and 57% of Atlético Mineiro’s away matches; with a projected total of 2.85 goals, this is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Atlético PR led at the break in 50% of their home matches, while Atlético Mineiro failed to score in the first half in 71% of their away games, supporting the case for the hosts to be ahead after 45 minutes. Atlético PR average 1.71 goals per home match, compared with the visitors’ 0.93 away, and their xG is 1.68 versus 1.23 for their opponents. The second half also favors the hosts holding on to their lead: Atlético PR average 1.00 goals in that period, while Mineiro concede 0.79 and score just 0.36. The 1/1 HT/FT pick is not without risk, however, as Mineiro have won 60% of their last five matches, while the hosts have conceded an average of 2.4 goals. Despite the visitors’ improved recent form, Atlético PR’s frequent leads at the break and clear home scoring advantage make 1/1 the most likely single outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético Mineiro is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Atlético PR · 2 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.54 goals / game - Atlético PR · 1.32 goals / game - Atlético Mineiro
Atlético PR scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 games), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 games).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 games), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Atlético PR · 1.57 pts / game - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético PR
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.68 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético PR's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Atlético Mineiro. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 2:2 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
Atlético PR score 1.54 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.32. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Atlético PR's matches and 46% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Atlético PR and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético PR vs Atlético Mineiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.