Atlético PR vs Botafogo: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético PR played against Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Atlético PR has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Botafogo has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético PR scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.00. Botafogo scores 1.67 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Atlético PR's games and 50% of Botafogo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 83%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlético PR has the higher season xG average, 1.19 to 0.89 per game. Atlético PR takes 10.6 shots per game, while Botafogo takes 7.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético PR leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Botafogo leads at halftime in 17% and scores 1.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético PR's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Botafogo, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR show better form and table position and strong home results with 75% home wins and only 0.75 GA per match. Botafogo struggle away, losing 75% of away matches and conceding 2.25 on average, indicating defensive issues against hosts' attack. xG gap (1.3 for Atlético vs 0.86 for Botafogo away) plus higher shots and possession for Atlético (11.5 shots, 53% possession) supports hosts' ability to create chances. In last five both teams scored, but Botafogo conceded more (8 vs 6), increasing likelihood of a home win. I therefore favor Atlético with moderate draw probability and low away-win chance.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Clear BTTS predisposition: both teams post similar xG (0.89 vs 0.86) and Botafogo away seasonBTTS 75% with no CS, indicating they usually both score and concede. Atlético PR shows high season CS (50%) and season BTTS 0% (contra), but L5 both teams record 60% BTTS, reflecting current trend. Botafogo concedes heavily (ga_season_away 12) and Atlético concedes moderately (seasonConcededAVG_home 1.5), increasing mutual scoring chances. League avg BTTS 56% supports 'yes'. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Model projects 1.29 xG for Atlético PR and 1.26 xG for Botafogo (total 2.55), placing the match well above 1.5 goals with high probability. Atlético has a high season Over2.5 rate and excellent shot conversion (24%), while Botafogo concedes ~2.25 goals per match, increasing goal risk. Both teams show solid xG_for (~0.89 and 0.86) and a relatively high number of SOT, indicating active offense. Season Over1.5/2.5 percentages favor at least two goals; last-5 form also supports a scoring game. Strongest and most certain signal: Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data point to a strong second-half advantage for the hosts: high AVG_2hg_home and many goals in minutes 76–90 suggest late attacking dominance. HT stats often show a draw or away lead at the break (high drawingAtHTPercentage and leadingAtHTPercentage_away), favoring a halftime draw. Overall form and PPG of the hosts (seasonPPG_home 1.5 vs 0.75) and better second-half results give hosts a high probability of overturning the score. xG and shots are similar, confirming the second 45 minutes are decisive. The strongest signal is HT draw and FT home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.53 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlético PR is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Atlético PR · 0.6 pts / game - Botafogo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Atlético PR · 1.67 goals / game - Botafogo
Atlético PR is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Atlético PR · 2 goals / game - Botafogo
Atlético PR scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
Botafogo scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético PR
Over / Under - Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético PR is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Atlético PR · 1 pts / game - Botafogo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético PR
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.43 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 45% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Botafogo?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 4:1 Botafogo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Botafogo?
Atlético PR score 1.43 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.67. The Serie A average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Atlético PR's matches and 50% of Botafogo's.
What form are Atlético PR and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Botafogo 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Botafogo?
The statistical background for Atlético PR vs Botafogo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.