Atlético PR has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Palmeiras has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético PR scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 1.17. Palmeiras scores 1.73 and allows 0.73. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Atlético PR's games and 57% of Palmeiras's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 50%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Palmeiras has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.45 per game. Atlético PR takes 12.9 shots per game, while Palmeiras takes 15.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético PR leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Palmeiras leads at halftime in 53% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético PR's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). For Palmeiras, it is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.93)

(3.39)

(2.47)

-Double chance 1X

-Double chance X2

-BTTS Yes odds

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.77Points per game2.1

Atlético PRPalmeiras

1.63Goals scored / game1.73

Atlético PRPalmeiras

1.17Goals allowed / game0.73

Atlético PRPalmeiras

1.45xG for1.67

Atlético PRPalmeiras

47%Average possession53%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

5.17Shots on target / game5.17

Atlético PRPalmeiras

27%Clean sheets43%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

60%Both teams scored57%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.87Shots per game15.5

Atlético PRPalmeiras

5.17Shots on target5.17

Atlético PRPalmeiras

12.7%Shot conversion11.2%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

47%Possession53%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

1.45xG for1.67

Atlético PRPalmeiras

1.41xG against1.4

Atlético PRPalmeiras

Shooting quality

Atlético PR: Counter-attackingPalmeiras: Attacking

	Atlético PR	Palmeiras
Accuracy (shots on target)	40%	33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.11	0.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.32	0.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Palmeiras is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Atlético PR · 2.2 pts / game - Palmeiras

Atlético PR

LDWDW

Season result split

50% W27% D23% L

Season (W-D-L)

15-8-7

1.77 pts / game · goal difference +14

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

9-5-1

Last 5 at home

2-3-0

WDDWD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Palmeiras

DWDWW

Unbeaten in the last 5 games

Season result split

60% W30% D10% L

Season (W-D-L)

18-9-3

2.10 pts / game · goal difference +30

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-2-0

2.20 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

7-6-2

Last 5 away

1-3-1

WLDDD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 2.40Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palmeiras is 6% better for: goals scored per game.

1.63 goals / game - Atlético PR · 1.73 goals / game - Palmeiras

Palmeiras is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.17 goals / game - Atlético PR · 0.73 goals / game - Palmeiras

Atlético PR scoring profile: strong

Atlético PR scores in 80% of games (24 of 30 games), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 games).

Palmeiras scoring profile: very strong

Palmeiras scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 games), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 games).

49Goals scored (season)52

Atlético PRPalmeiras

35Goals conceded (season)22

Atlético PRPalmeiras

2.8Average goals per game2.47

Atlético PRPalmeiras

12Goals scored (last 5)7

Atlético PRPalmeiras

10Goals conceded (last 5)1

Atlético PRPalmeiras

Atlético PR

27%

Clean sheets8 of 30 games

20%

No goal6 of 30 games

Palmeiras

43%

Clean sheets13 of 30 games

13%

No goal4 of 30 games

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal87%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

57%2 goals47%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

20%3 goals23%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

7%4 goals13%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal57%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

27%2 goals13%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

17%3 goals3%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

0%4 goals0%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%

Atlético PR - BTTS18 of 30 games

57%

Palmeiras - BTTS17 of 30 games

60%

League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time20%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

13%BTTS in both halves7%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

43%Scored in both halves40%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

100%BTTS - last 520%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

93%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)87%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

77%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)67%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

53%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)50%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

30%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)27%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

20%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)13%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

Over / Under - Atlético PR

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 93%Under 7%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 77%Under 23%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 53%Under 47%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 30%Under 70%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 20%Under 80%

Over / Under - Palmeiras

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 87%Under 13%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 67%Under 33%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 50%Under 50%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 27%Under 73%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 13%Under 87%

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

13%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

43%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

10%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palmeiras is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / game - Atlético PR · 2.03 pts / game - Palmeiras

Atlético PR - half-time state

33% leading40% draw27% trailing

Palmeiras - half-time state

53% leading43% draw3% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per game (1st half)2.03

Atlético PRPalmeiras

0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.9

Atlético PRPalmeiras

0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.23

Atlético PRPalmeiras

1.47Average goals (1st half)1.13

Atlético PRPalmeiras

43%Clean sheet before half-time77%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

40%No goal before half-time30%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per game (2nd half)1.5

Atlético PRPalmeiras

0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.83

Atlético PRPalmeiras

0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5

Atlético PRPalmeiras

1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.33

Atlético PRPalmeiras

60%Clean sheet after half-time60%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

37%No goal after half-time43%

Atlético PRPalmeiras

Atlético PR - second-half results

37% W43% D20% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.40

PPG before half-time

Lead holding152%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Palmeiras - second-half results

30% W60% D10% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

+20

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

+10

Goal difference (2nd half)

2.03

PPG before half-time

Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético PR - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.80	1.00
Goals scored / game	1.6	0.8
Goals allowed / game	0.8	1.2
Average goals per game	2.4	2.0
1 goal	100%	100%
2 goals	100%	80%
3 goals	40%	20%
Clean sheet	20%	20%
No goal	0%	20%
Goal difference	+4	-2

Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing

2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 8

Palmeiras - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	2.20	1.80
Goals scored / game	0.8	0.6
Goals allowed / game	0.0	0.2
Average goals per game	0.8	0.8
1 goal	60%	40%
2 goals	20%	20%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	100%	80%
No goal	40%	60%
Goal difference	+4	+2

Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético PR

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Palmeiras

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.63

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.2 : 1.4

Estimated goal split

home : away

98%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

59%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-62%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

70%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 33 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético PR

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.04

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.42

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-6.6 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.18

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.24

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

106%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

103%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.17

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

-0.0

Late goals

24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.

24%

Palmeiras

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.27

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.73

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-13.3 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.06

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.67

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

152%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

47%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

+0.10

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

-0.1

Late goals

15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.

15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

	Atlético PR	Liga	Palmeiras
Average goals per game	▲ 2.80	2.68	▼ 2.47
Both teams scored	• 60%	60%	▼ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	• 53%	52%	▼ 50%
Clean sheets	▲ 27%	23%	▲ 43%
Goal before half-time	▲ 83%	75%	▼ 73%
Goal after half-time	▼ 77%	79%	▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68

Average goals per game

60%

Both teams scored

52%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

23%

Clean sheets

1.54

Home goals / game

1.14

Away goals / game

+35%

Home attack advantage

+26%

Home defensive advantage

+23%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

75%

1 goal

34%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

79%

1 goal

45%

2 goals

18%

3 goals

4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético PR's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Palmeiras. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Palmeiras

1 : 004/19/2026

Atlético PR

FAQ

When do Atlético PR and Palmeiras play?

Atlético PR face Palmeiras on October 17, 2026 in Serie A at Arena de Baixada. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Palmeiras?

Atlético PR score 1.63 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.73. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Atlético PR's matches and 57% of Palmeiras's.

What form are Atlético PR and Palmeiras in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Palmeiras 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Palmeiras?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético PR vs Palmeiras: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.