Atlético Rafaela vs Almagro: match statistics
Atlético Rafaela is in excellent form over the last five matches, recording five consecutive wins and an impressive goal difference of 7:2. The hosts are averaging 3 points per match, indicating superb disposition. Conversely, Almagro is in a clear slump with a five-match winless streak, including three losses and two draws with an unfavorable goal difference of 1:4. The disparity in points per match (3.0 vs 0.4) and goal difference (+5 vs -3) in recent outings clearly points to the hosts' advantage. Considering Atlético Rafaela's outstanding run and the visitors' poor form, I strongly favor a home victory in this clash.
Atlético Rafaela vs Almagro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Rafaela play Almagro in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Atlético Rafaela: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Almagro: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Rafaela scores 0.71 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Almagro scores 0.80 and concedes 1.10. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Rafaela 29%, Almagro 30%. Over 2.5: Atlético Rafaela 24%, Almagro 25%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Rafaela has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.09. Atlético Rafaela: 8.4 shots per match, Almagro: 8.7.
Match halves
Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48. Almagro: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). Almagro: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Atlético Rafaela is in excellent form over the last five matches, recording five consecutive wins and an impressive goal difference of 7:2. The hosts are averaging 3 points per match, indicating superb disposition. Conversely, Almagro is in a clear slump with a five-match winless streak, including three losses and two draws with an unfavorable goal difference of 1:4. The disparity in points per match (3.0 vs 0.4) and goal difference (+5 vs -3) in recent outings clearly points to the hosts' advantage. Considering Atlético Rafaela's outstanding run and the visitors' poor form, I strongly favor a home victory in this clash.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Rafaela | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almagro is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 2 pts / match - Almagro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almagro is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 0.8 goals / match - Almagro
Atlético Rafaela is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.1 goals / match - Almagro
Atlético Rafaela scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Almagro scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Rafaela
Over / Under — Almagro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Rafaela is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 0.85 pts / match - Almagro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Almagro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Rafaela
Almagro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Rafaela | Liga | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.57 | 1.89 | • 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético Rafaela 0 - 0 - 1 Almagro. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Rafaela vs Almagro?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlético Rafaela 0:0 Almagro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Almagro?
Atlético Rafaela score 0.71 goals per game on average and Almagro 0.80. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 30% of Almagro's.
What form are Atlético Rafaela and Almagro in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Almagro 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Almagro?
The statistical background for Atlético Rafaela vs Almagro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.