Atlético Tembetary vs Fernando de la Mora: match statistics

Fernando de la Mora arrive in significantly better form: they have collected 8 points from their last five matches, recording 2 wins, 2 draws and just one defeat, while Atlético Tembetary have managed 4 points. The visitors have also tightened up defensively, conceding 6 goals during this period compared with 9 conceded by the hosts. Atlético score an average of 1.44 goals at home, compared with Fernando’s 1.22 away from home, but their defense allows opponents to score 1.56 goals per match and has kept a clean sheet in just 11% of home games. The quality of chances created is very similar, with a slight edge even going to the visitors: their average xG stands at 1.44, compared with 1.41 for Tembetary. The advantage in current form, combined with Fernando de la Mora’s more solid recent work off the ball, gives them a slightly better chance of securing an away win.

Seasonal BTTS indicators are positive for both teams: Atlético Tembetary record BTTS in 60% of their matches, while Fernando de la Mora do so in 56%, compared with a league average of 55%. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 10% of matches and concede an average of 1.40 goals, clearly supporting the visitors’ chances of scoring. Fernando de la Mora are not particularly solid defensively either, conceding an average of 1.56 goals, while their opponents create an average of 1.41 xG against them. Atlético’s recent form lowers confidence in the pick, as the team has scored just 4 goals in 5 matches; however, their average xG of 1.44, along with the visitors’ 1.34 xG, indicates genuine attacking potential from both sides. BTTS - Yes therefore remains the most likely outcome, although the advantage over BTTS - No is only moderate.

The match profile points to approximately 2.60 goals: Atlético Tembetary’s average xG is 1.58 and Fernando de la Mora’s is 1.44, with xG conceded standing at 1.37 and 1.41, respectively. In their last five matches, the hosts scored only 4 goals while conceding 9, whereas the visitors scored 6 and conceded 6, supporting a 2–3-goal scenario. The Under 3.5 goals line landed in 70% of Atlético’s matches and 67% of Fernando de la Mora’s, while Over 3.5 occurred in only 30% and 33% of cases, respectively. Neither team averages more than 1.22 goals scored per match, and Atlético scores just once per game across the season. Therefore, Under 3.5 has the most consistent support, both in the results distribution and in the teams’ moderate attacking output.

A draw at half-time is the most logical starting point, as Atlético have been level at the break in 50% of their matches, compared with 56% for Fernando de la Mora. Both teams are relatively goal-shy before the interval: the hosts average 0.20 goals and the visitors 0.44, with total first-half goal averages of 0.70 and 0.89, respectively. Atlético have led at the break just once in 10 matches, while Fernando de la Mora have done so twice, limiting the credibility of HT/FT outcomes involving either side leading after 45 minutes. After the interval, the hosts average 0.80 goals and have a better second-half points return of 1.50 compared with the visitors’ 1.00, although Fernando have won the second half in 40% of their last five matches and averaged 1.00 goal during those periods. With xG levels closely matched—1.58 for Atlético versus 1.44 for Fernando—and a high draw rate in the hosts’ full matches (40%), the most likely outcome remains a draw that is maintained until the final whistle.