Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Tecnológico de OaxacaData current as of September 07, 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Zacatepec plays Durango in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 11, 2026. Venue: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca.

Recent form

Atlético Zacatepec has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Durango has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.71. Durango scores 0.57 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 3.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Atlético Zacatepec's games and 29% of Durango's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 29%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Atlético Zacatepec has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.25 per game. Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.3 shots per game, while Durango takes 9.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Durango leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Zacatepec's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Durango, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.33 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.57)
(3.22)
(2.44)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0.86Goals scored / game0.57
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1.71Goals allowed / game1.14
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
53%Average possession60%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
3.57Shots on target / game3
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.29Shots per game9.71
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
3.57Shots on target3
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
7.6%Shot conversion5.9%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
53%Possession60%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1.31xG for1.25
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1.36xG against1.34
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedDurango: Balanced
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Atlético Zacatepec is 250% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 0.4 pts / game - Durango

Atlético Zacatepec
WWLDL
Season result split
29% W14% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Durango
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
29% W29% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Zacatepec is 51% better for: goals scored per game.

0.86 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 0.57 goals / game - Durango

Durango is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.71 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.14 goals / game - Durango

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Durango keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).

Durango scoring profile: strong

Durango scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)4
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
12Goals conceded (season)8
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
2.57Average goals per game1.71
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
6Goals scored (last 5)2
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
14%2 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%3 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%4 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
57%2 goals43%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
29%3 goals14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
14%4 goals0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 7 meczów
56%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%Scored in both halves0%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
60%BTTS - last 540%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing
Durango - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.57Points per game (1st half)0.57
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0Goals scored (1st half)0.14
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0.71Average goals (1st half)0.86
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
100%No goal before half-time86%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)1.71
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
1.86Average goals (2nd half)0.86
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
43%Clean sheet after half-time86%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango
29%No goal after half-time57%
Atlético ZacatepecDurango

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Durango - second-half results

43% W43% R14% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.60
Goals scored / game0.01.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game0.62.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Durango - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.20
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Durango
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.14
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
64%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Durango

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaDurango
Average goals per game 2.573.33 1.71
Both teams scored 43%56% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%61% 29%
Clean sheets 29%25% 43%
Goal before half-time 43%76% 43%
Goal after half-time 86%76% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.33
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.96
Home goals / game
1.37
Away goals / game
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
39%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Atlético Zacatepec and Durango play?

Atlético Zacatepec face Durango on September 11, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango?

Atlético Zacatepec score 0.86 goals per game on average and Durango 0.57. The Ascenso MX average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 29% of Durango's.

What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Durango in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Durango 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Zacatepec vs Durango: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.