Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of September 13, 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas: match statistics

125%(3.00)
X30%(3.30)
245%(2.05)

Mineros de Zacatecas clearly outperform the hosts in terms of form and efficiency. Atlético Zacatepec has not won any home match this season (0% win rate), scoring only 0.88 goals while conceding 2.13 goals per game. The visitors, however, display significantly better offensive efficiency (1.78 goals away) and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 7%). Mineros also boasts a better points tally in the last five matches (1.2 points per match vs 0.6) and a higher average possession (54% vs 48%). The difference in xG (1.58 vs 1.38) and in goal difference (-1 vs -10) further confirms the visitors' advantage, who should capitalize on the hosts' poor form and secure all three points.

Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Zacatepec played against Mineros de Zacatecas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Recent form

Atlético Zacatepec has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Mineros de Zacatecas has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 1.81. Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.79 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Atlético Zacatepec's games and 68% of Mineros de Zacatecas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 68%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mineros de Zacatecas has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.38 per game. Atlético Zacatepec takes 12.0 shots per game, while Mineros de Zacatecas takes 13.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Mineros de Zacatecas leads at halftime in 53% and scores 0.79 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Zacatepec's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Mineros de Zacatecas, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Mineros de Zacatecas clearly outperform the hosts in terms of form and efficiency. Atlético Zacatepec has not won any home match this season (0% win rate), scoring only 0.88 goals while conceding 2.13 goals per game. The visitors, however, display significantly better offensive efficiency (1.78 goals away) and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 7%). Mineros also boasts a better points tally in the last five matches (1.2 points per match vs 0.6) and a higher average possession (54% vs 48%). The difference in xG (1.58 vs 1.38) and in goal difference (-1 vs -10) further confirms the visitors' advantage, who should capitalize on the hosts' poor form and secure all three points.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

36Possession (%)64
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
10Shots4
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
2Shots on target2
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.07xG0.7
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
5Corners3
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
41Dangerous attacks41
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
18Fouls14
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
5Cards7
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.06Goals scored / game1.79
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.81Goals allowed / game1.58
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
45%Average possession56%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
3.88Shots on target / game5.63
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game13.63
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
3.88Shots on target5.63
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
8.9%Shot conversion13.1%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
45%Possession56%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.38xG for1.65
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.46xG against1.26
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedMineros de Zacatecas: Efficient finishing
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Accuracy (shots on target)32%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.2 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas

Atlético Zacatepec
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
19% W31% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-8
0.88 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-5
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
LDDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Mineros de Zacatecas
DDWLD
Season result split
32% W47% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-4
1.42 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 69% better for: goals scored per game.

1.06 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.79 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas

Mineros de Zacatecas is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.81 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.58 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).

Mineros de Zacatecas scoring profile: very strong

Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).

17Goals scored (season)34
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
29Goals conceded (season)30
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
2.88Average goals per game3.37
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal84%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
19%2 goals63%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
6%3 goals26%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
6%4 goals5%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal74%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
50%2 goals53%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
31%3 goals21%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
6%4 goals11%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

63%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 16 meczów
68%
Mineros de Zacatecas - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 19 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time37%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
13%BTTS in both halves16%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
13%Scored in both halves37%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
80%BTTS - last 580%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time26%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.84 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
19% leading44% draw38% trailing
Mineros de Zacatecas - half-time state
53% leading26% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.84
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
0.44Goals scored (1st half)1
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
0.81Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.63
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
44%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
63%No goal before half-time32%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per game (2nd half)1.16
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.95
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.74
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
31%Clean sheet after half-time37%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas
50%No goal after half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecMineros de Zacatecas

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

19% W38% D44% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results

26% W37% D37% L
35
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding60%

Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 32%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mineros de Zacatecas - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.40
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
4
4
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
4
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Mineros de Zacatecas
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
6
5
16-30
11
5
31-45
1
4
46-60
5
2
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.12
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

Mineros de Zacatecas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaMineros de Zacatecas
Average goals per game 2.882.94 3.37
Both teams scored 63%55% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%54% 68%
Clean sheets 13%26% 26%
Goal before half-time 75%76% 84%
Goal after half-time 81%79% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Mineros de ZacatecasRed cardLuis Donaldo Hernández González
  2. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardFernando Morales
  3. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardIsrael García Barreda
  4. Mineros de ZacatecasYellow cardAnderson Mishael Villacorta Beltrán
  5. Mineros de ZacatecasYellow cardPablo César Padilla Valtierra
  6. Mineros de ZacatecasSubstitutionOn: Alonso Sebastián García RiveraOff: Juan José Machado Siqueiros
  7. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardHarold Alejandro Vázquez Garza
  8. Mineros de ZacatecasSubstitutionOn: Jesus MontesOff: Pablo César Padilla Valtierra
  9. Mineros de ZacatecasSubstitutionOn: Mauro Pérez GuadarramaOff: Paolo Ríos
  10. Atlético ZacatepecSubstitutionOn: Bubakarry FadikaOff: Héctor Alejandro Mascorro López
  11. Mineros de ZacatecasYellow cardAndrés Gerardo Mendoza Rivera
  12. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardJulio César Cruz González
  13. Mineros de ZacatecasYellow cardLuís Roberto Cervantes Godinez
  14. Mineros de ZacatecasYellow cardJesus Montes
  15. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardAdrián Vázquez Hernández

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Zacatepec's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Mineros de Zacatecas. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Club Deportivo Mineros de Zacatecas
2 : 2
Club Atlético Zacatepec

FAQ

What was the result of Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

The Ascenso MX match finished Atlético Zacatepec 2:0 Mineros de Zacatecas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Atlético Zacatepec score 1.06 goals per game on average and Mineros de Zacatecas 1.79. The Ascenso MX average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 68% of Mineros de Zacatecas's.

What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Mineros de Zacatecas in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Mineros de Zacatecas 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.