Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío: match statistics
Tapatío is displaying significantly better form over their last five matches, accumulating 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) compared to just 5 points for Atlético Zacatepec (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The hosts have a very poor home record with only an 18% home win rate and concede an average of 1.73 goals per game. Tapatío, despite playing away, demonstrates superior shooting efficiency (12% shot conversion compared to the hosts' 9%) and has scored 11 goals while conceding only 6 in their last five fixtures. The goal difference also favors the visitors (-2 against the hosts' -7), and the fact that Atlético Zacatepec failed to score in 45% of their home games further diminishes their chances. Considering all statistics, Tapatío has a realistic chance of securing an away win.
Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Atlético Zacatepec played against Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 13, 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
Atlético Zacatepec has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Tapatío has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.23 goals per game and allows 1.86. Tapatío scores 1.68 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Atlético Zacatepec's games and 64% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 64%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tapatío has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.30 per game. Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.4 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Atlético Zacatepec's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tapatío is displaying significantly better form over their last five matches, accumulating 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) compared to just 5 points for Atlético Zacatepec (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The hosts have a very poor home record with only an 18% home win rate and concede an average of 1.73 goals per game. Tapatío, despite playing away, demonstrates superior shooting efficiency (12% shot conversion compared to the hosts' 9%) and has scored 11 goals while conceding only 6 in their last five fixtures. The goal difference also favors the visitors (-2 against the hosts' -7), and the fact that Atlético Zacatepec failed to score in 45% of their home games further diminishes their chances. Considering all statistics, Tapatío has a realistic chance of securing an away win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Zacatepec | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tapatío is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 2 pts / game - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 37% better for: goals scored per game.
1.23 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.68 goals / game - Tapatío
Tapatío is 37% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.86 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.36 goals / game - Tapatío
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
Tapatío scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
Over / Under - Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tapatío is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.64 pts / game - Tapatío
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Atlético Zacatepec
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Zacatepec | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.09 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Atlético Zacatepec's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Tapatío. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished Atlético Zacatepec 4:3 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío?
Atlético Zacatepec score 1.23 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.68. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 64% of Tapatío's.
What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tapatío 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Tapatío?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.