Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of September 12, 2026

Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala: match statistics

Atlético Zacatepec crest
Atlético Zacatepec
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Tlaxcala crest
Tlaxcala
135%(2.23)
X35%(3.40)
230%(2.70)

The match shapes up as a closely contested encounter between two teams in similarly poor form. Atlético Zacatepec displays dismal home form with a mere 11% win rate and a staggering 56% loss rate at their ground, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per game. Tlaxcala also performs very poorly on the road, losing 67% of their matches and without keeping a single clean sheet this season, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent – the hosts with 1.2 points per match over their last five games, the visitors slightly better with 1.8 points. Considering both teams' poor defense, negative goal difference (hosts -8, visitors -16), and balanced xG value, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.

Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Zacatepec played against Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

Atlético Zacatepec has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Tlaxcala has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.78. Tlaxcala scores 1.26 and allows 1.89. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's games and 63% of Tlaxcala's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 63%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tlaxcala has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.33 per game. Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.6 shots per game, while Tlaxcala takes 13.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Tlaxcala leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Zacatepec's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Tlaxcala, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match shapes up as a closely contested encounter between two teams in similarly poor form. Atlético Zacatepec displays dismal home form with a mere 11% win rate and a staggering 56% loss rate at their ground, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per game. Tlaxcala also performs very poorly on the road, losing 67% of their matches and without keeping a single clean sheet this season, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game. The recent form of both sides is inconsistent – the hosts with 1.2 points per match over their last five games, the visitors slightly better with 1.8 points. Considering both teams' poor defense, negative goal difference (hosts -8, visitors -16), and balanced xG value, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

43Possession (%)57
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
7Shots10
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
1Shots on target4
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
0.85xG1.14
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
3Corners3
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
46Dangerous attacks31
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
14Fouls21
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
4Cards4
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
1.22Goals scored / game1.26
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
1.78Goals allowed / game1.89
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
44%Average possession50%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
3.72Shots on target / game3.84
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.56Shots per game13.84
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
3.72Shots on target3.84
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
10.6%Shot conversion9.1%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
44%Possession50%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
1.33xG for1.65
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
1.44xG against1.54
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

Shooting quality

Atlético Zacatepec: BalancedTlaxcala: Balanced
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
Accuracy (shots on target)32%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tlaxcala is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.8 pts / game - Tlaxcala

Atlético Zacatepec
DLDWD
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-8
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-5
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Tlaxcala
LWWLW
Season result split
32% W26% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-8
1.21 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-6
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Zacatepec is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.78 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.89 goals / game - Tlaxcala

Atlético Zacatepec scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Zacatepec scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 meczów).

Tlaxcala scoring profile: very strong

Tlaxcala scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).

22Goals scored (season)24
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
32Goals conceded (season)36
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
3Average goals per game3.16
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
7Goals scored (last 5)10
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal74%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
28%2 goals32%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
11%3 goals11%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
6%4 goals5%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal89%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
50%2 goals53%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
33%3 goals32%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
6%4 goals11%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

61%
Atlético Zacatepec - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 18 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time21%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
17%BTTS in both halves5%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
22%Scored in both halves21%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
60%BTTS - last 580%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tlaxcala is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec · 1.32 pts / game - Tlaxcala

Atlético Zacatepec - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing
Tlaxcala - half-time state
37% leading21% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per game (1st half)1.32
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
1.28Average goals (1st half)1.47
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
44%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
56%No goal before half-time53%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per game (2nd half)0.95
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.11
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
1.72Average goals (2nd half)1.68
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
33%Clean sheet after half-time26%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala
44%No goal after half-time53%
Atlético ZacatepecTlaxcala

Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results

22% W39% D39% L
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tlaxcala - second-half results

21% W32% D47% L
25
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 32%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Zacatepec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tlaxcala - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game1.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.20.6
Average goals per game2.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Zacatepec
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
5
4
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Tlaxcala
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
5
31-45
1
6
46-60
0
4
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Zacatepec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Tlaxcala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Atlético ZacatepecLigaTlaxcala
Average goals per game 3.002.93 3.16
Both teams scored 61%55% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%54% 63%
Clean sheets 17%26% 11%
Goal before half-time 78%75% 79%
Goal after half-time 83%79% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardJuan Alberto Esqueda Romero
  2. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardKristian Omar Álvarez Nuño
  3. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardAdrián Vázquez Hernández
  4. Atlético ZacatepecSubstitutionOn: Julio César Cruz GonzálezOff: Sergio Eduardo Meza Carrillo
  5. Atlético ZacatepecSubstitutionOn: Bubakarry FadikaOff: Héctor Alejandro Mascorro López
  6. Atlético ZacatepecYellow cardIsrael García Barreda

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Alan Cristobal Rodríguez CancinoMatches officiated: 10
6.9Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins20%Draws30%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Zacatepec's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tlaxcala. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Tlaxcala FC
2 : 1
Club Atlético Zacatepec

FAQ

What was the result of Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala?

The Ascenso MX match finished Atlético Zacatepec 0:0 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala?

Atlético Zacatepec score 1.22 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.26. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Atlético Zacatepec's matches and 63% of Tlaxcala's.

What form are Atlético Zacatepec and Tlaxcala in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Zacatepec have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Tlaxcala 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Zacatepec vs Tlaxcala?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.