Atyrau vs Tobol: match statistics
Atyrau vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atyrau play Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 28 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Stadion Munayşı. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atyrau: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Tobol: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atyrau scores 0.76 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Tobol scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atyrau 53%, Tobol 61%. Over 2.5: Atyrau 24%, Tobol 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Tobol has higher xG: 1.55 vs 0.87. Atyrau: 6.7 shots per match, Tobol: 13.3.
Match halves
Atyrau: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. Tobol: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Atyrau: 61-75 (4 goals). Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Atyrau has a clear defensive edge at home: on average only 0.2 goals conceded per match and 80% of home games with a clean sheet, while Tobol concedes on average 2.0 goals away and has no away clean sheets (0%). Both teams struggle with finishing — Atyrau averages 0.6 goals per home match from 5.8 shots and 2.0 on target (conversion 10%), and Tobol only 0.5 goals away from 12.17 shots and 2.67 on target (conversion 4%). Form also favors the hosts: Atyrau averages 1.2 points in the last 5 matches with a record of 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, whereas Tobol averages 0.8 points in the last 5 and records 100% losses away this season with an away goal difference of -9. xG indicates the visitors create slightly more high-quality chances (xG 1.28 vs 0.77 for Atyrau at home), but poor conversion (4% vs 10%) and the visitors’ higher average goals conceded (2.0 vs 0.2) weaken their prospects. On this basis I tip a home win for Atyrau, but with a significant chance of a draw given Atyrau’s 40% share of home draws and both teams’ low goals averages (0.6 vs 0.5).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atyrau | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tobol is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Atyrau · 1.4 pts / match - Tobol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tobol is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
0.76 goals / match - Atyrau · 1.11 goals / match - Tobol
Atyrau is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Atyrau · 1.44 goals / match - Tobol
Atyrau scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Tobol scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atyrau
Over / Under — Tobol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tobol is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Atyrau · 1.28 pts / match - Tobol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atyrau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tobol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atyrau
Tobol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atyrau | Liga | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 29% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 62% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Atyrau 1 - 0 - 1 Tobol. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atyrau vs Tobol?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Atyrau 1:1 Tobol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atyrau and Tobol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atyrau won 1, Tobol won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atyrau vs Tobol?
Atyrau score 0.76 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.11. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Atyrau's matches and 61% of Tobol's.
What form are Atyrau and Tobol in?
Over the last 5 games Atyrau have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tobol 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atyrau vs Tobol?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atyrau vs Tobol: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.