Atyrau vs Zhetysu: match statistics
Atyrau vs Zhetysu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atyrau played Zhetysu in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Munayşı. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Atyrau: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Zhetysu: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atyrau scores 0.72 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Zhetysu scores 1.16 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atyrau 50%, Zhetysu 58%. Over 2.5: Atyrau 22%, Zhetysu 53%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Zhetysu has higher xG: 1.18 vs 0.87. Atyrau: 6.8 shots per match, Zhetysu: 10.2.
Match halves
Atyrau: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.39. Zhetysu: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Atyrau: 61-75 (4 goals). Zhetysu: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atyrau has a clear defensive edge at home: they concede an average of 0.88 goals per match and keep clean sheets in 50% of home games, whereas Zhetysu concedes 2.00 goals on average away and records clean sheets in only 10% of away matches. Offensively the visitors have a slight advantage – Zhetysu scores 1.4 goals away on average and generates 1.23 xG, compared to Atyrau’s 0.75 goals and 0.89 xG; the visitors average 10.3 shots and 4.2 on target per game, hosts 6.75 shots and 2.63 on target, with conversion rates of 14% vs 11%. Both teams are in poor form: in the last 5 matches Atyrau scored 4 and conceded 9 (1 win, 4 losses), Zhetysu scored 3 and conceded 7 (also 1-4), giving both an average of 0.6 points per game over this period. League stats also show a slight home advantage – Atyrau has 25% home wins and 38% draws, while Zhetysu wins 20% of away games and draws 30%; the goal difference gap (Atyrau home GD -1 vs Zhetysu away GD -6) favors Atyrau. Therefore I forecast a narrow home win (45%), draw as the second option (30%) and a lower chance of an away win (25%).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Zhetysu has a seasonal BTTS of 80% and fails to score in only 10% of matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game with xG_for 1.23, which strongly supports a goal from the visitors. Atyrau averages 0.89 goals per game (xG 1.13) and fails to score in 44% of matches, with a seasonal BTTS of only 33%, limiting the chances of both teams scoring. However, Atyrau concedes an average of 1.0 goals per game (1.8 in the last 5 matches) and Zhetysu has xG_against 1.58 and 4.2 shots on target per game, so the hosts are at risk of conceding. Considering the league BTTS level of 54% and the fact that the visitors score in about 90% of matches versus hosts who often do not score (44% FTS), the "both teams to score" scenario (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal) appears more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project approximately 1.36 goals for Atyrau and 1.14 for Zhetysu (total 2.50), calculated as the average of attacking xG (Atyrau 1.13, Zhetysu 1.23) and conceded xG (Zhetysu 1.58, Atyrau 1.04). Zhetysu shows a strong tendency for high-scoring games: 90% of their matches have exceeded 1.5 goals and 70% exceeded 2.5, while Atyrau’s figures are 44% and 33% respectively. A Poisson model with λ=2.50 yields about a 71% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about 46% chance of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5), favoring the 1.5 line. Additionally, Zhetysu averages 4.2 shots on target with a 14% conversion rate versus Atyrau’s 3.44 and 9% conversion, increasing the likelihood of away goals. Therefore the best line to play is Over 1.5 (side: "over") — the strongest signal supported by xG, shots and seasonal indicators for both teams (≈71%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/X (draw at half-time and draw at full-time). The hosts led at the break in 22% of matches, the visitors in 40%, while overall full-time draw rates are 33% for Atyrau and 30% for Zhetysu, which provides a clear signal for a draw at full-time. Both teams have similar xG: 1.13 (Atyrau) versus 1.23 (Zhetysu), and the average goals scored are only 0.89 vs 1.40, with Zhetysu showing a high BTTS rate of 80%, suggesting frequent 1:1 outcomes. Both sides are in poor form (last 5: WLLLL) and the hosts keep a clean sheet in 44% of season matches, so I expect a low-scoring, evenly contested game finishing as a draw.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atyrau | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zhetysu is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
0.72 goals / match - Atyrau · 1.16 goals / match - Zhetysu
Atyrau is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Atyrau · 1.53 goals / match - Zhetysu
Atyrau scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Zhetysu keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Zhetysu scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Atyrau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atyrau
Over / Under — Zhetysu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zhetysu is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Atyrau · 1.37 pts / match - Zhetysu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atyrau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zhetysu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atyrau
Zhetysu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Atyrau | Liga | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 44% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Atyrau 0 - 3 - 0 Zhetysu. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atyrau vs Zhetysu?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Atyrau 1:1 Zhetysu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atyrau and Zhetysu?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atyrau won 0, Zhetysu won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atyrau vs Zhetysu?
Atyrau score 0.72 goals per game on average and Zhetysu 1.16. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atyrau's matches and 58% of Zhetysu's.
What form are Atyrau and Zhetysu in?
Over the last 5 games Atyrau have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Zhetysu 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atyrau vs Zhetysu?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.