Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse: match statistics
Aubagne displays solid home form with just 13% losses on their own turf and an impressive 75% draw rate, indicating the hosts' defensive stability. Bourg-en-Bresse performs significantly worse in away matches, losing 50% of games and scoring an average of only 0.9 goals per match. Possession statistics (54% for Aubagne vs 45% for the visitors) and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 10%) favor the hosts. Although Aubagne tends to draw at their own stadium, the recent form of both teams (1 PPG for the hosts vs 1.4 PPG for the visitors in the last 5 matches) and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.26 vs 1.1) suggest a slight edge for the hosts. Considering all factors, we expect a close match with a slight advantage for Aubagne, though a draw remains a realistic scenario.
Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aubagne played against Bourg-en-Bresse in National (France). The game was played on February 13, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Aubagne has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Bourg-en-Bresse has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Aubagne scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 1.28. Bourg-en-Bresse scores 0.79 and allows 1.37. Games in this league average 2.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Aubagne's games and 47% of Bourg-en-Bresse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 42%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aubagne has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.07 per game. Aubagne takes 9.4 shots per game, while Bourg-en-Bresse takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Aubagne leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Bourg-en-Bresse leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aubagne's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Bourg-en-Bresse, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National games average 2.29 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aubagne displays solid home form with just 13% losses on their own turf and an impressive 75% draw rate, indicating the hosts' defensive stability. Bourg-en-Bresse performs significantly worse in away matches, losing 50% of games and scoring an average of only 0.9 goals per match. Possession statistics (54% for Aubagne vs 45% for the visitors) and a higher shot conversion rate (14% vs 10%) favor the hosts. Although Aubagne tends to draw at their own stadium, the recent form of both teams (1 PPG for the hosts vs 1.4 PPG for the visitors in the last 5 matches) and the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.26 vs 1.1) suggest a slight edge for the hosts. Considering all factors, we expect a close match with a slight advantage for Aubagne, though a draw remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aubagne | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bourg-en-Bresse is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Aubagne · 2 pts / game - Bourg-en-Bresse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aubagne is 76% better for: goals scored per game.
1.39 goals / game - Aubagne · 0.79 goals / game - Bourg-en-Bresse
Aubagne is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.28 goals / game - Aubagne · 1.37 goals / game - Bourg-en-Bresse
Aubagne scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Bourg-en-Bresse keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
Bourg-en-Bresse scores in 63% of games (12 of 19 meczów), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aubagne
Over / Under - Bourg-en-Bresse
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aubagne is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Aubagne · 0.79 pts / game - Bourg-en-Bresse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bourg-en-Bresse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aubagne
Bourg-en-Bresse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Aubagne | Liga | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.67 | 2.29 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Aubagne's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Bourg-en-Bresse. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
The National match finished Aubagne 1:0 Bourg-en-Bresse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
Aubagne score 1.39 goals per game on average and Bourg-en-Bresse 0.79. The National average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Aubagne's matches and 47% of Bourg-en-Bresse's.
What form are Aubagne and Bourg-en-Bresse in?
Over the last 5 games Aubagne have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bourg-en-Bresse 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-Bresse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.