Aubagne vs Châteauroux: match statistics
Aubagne vs Châteauroux: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aubagne play Châteauroux in National (France). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Aubagne: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Châteauroux: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aubagne scores 1.19 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Châteauroux scores 1.09 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aubagne 66%, Châteauroux 56%. Over 2.5: Aubagne 50%, Châteauroux 56%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Aubagne has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.21. Aubagne: 9.6 shots per match, Châteauroux: 10.0.
Match halves
Aubagne: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. Châteauroux: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Aubagne: 76-90+ (12 goals). Châteauroux: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The favorites in this matchup are the visitors (Châteauroux). Away they average 1.17 goals scored and concede 1.08, while Aubagne at home score 1.08 and concede 1.50 per match. Recent form diverges significantly: Aubagne have only 1 point from their last five (0.2 pts per match) with a goal record of 3–11, whereas Châteauroux collected 6 points (1.2 pts per match) with a 5–6 goal record. The hosts hold an edge in possession (56% vs 52%), take more shots and shots on target (9.5 and 3.58 vs 8.42 and 3.0) and have higher home xG (xG 1.26 vs xG 1.09 for the visitors), but the visitors convert chances more efficiently (14% conversion vs 11%). Châteauroux’s decisive advantage is defensive solidity and clean sheet rate: the visitors concede only 1.08 goals away on average and keep 25% clean sheets, while Aubagne concede 1.50 at home and have just 8% clean sheets. Considering superior points in the last 5 matches, higher efficiency with fewer shots and clear defensive issues for the hosts, I predict an away win for Châteauroux; estimated probabilities: Châteauroux 45%, draw 30%, Aubagne 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aubagne | Châteauroux | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Châteauroux is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Aubagne · 1.4 pts / match - Châteauroux
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aubagne is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Aubagne · 1.09 goals / match - Châteauroux
Aubagne is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Aubagne · 1.53 goals / match - Châteauroux
Aubagne scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Châteauroux keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
Châteauroux scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aubagne
Over / Under — Châteauroux
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Châteauroux is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Aubagne · 1.09 pts / match - Châteauroux
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Châteauroux - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aubagne
Châteauroux
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Aubagne | Liga | Châteauroux | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 29% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aubagne 1 - 0 - 0 Châteauroux. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aubagne vs Châteauroux?
The National match finished Aubagne 1:1 Châteauroux. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aubagne vs Châteauroux?
Aubagne score 1.19 goals per game on average and Châteauroux 1.09. The National average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Aubagne's matches and 56% of Châteauroux's.
What form are Aubagne and Châteauroux in?
Over the last 5 games Aubagne have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Châteauroux 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aubagne vs Châteauroux?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aubagne vs Châteauroux: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.