Aurora vs Guabirá: match statistics
Aurora vs Guabirá: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aurora played against Guabirá in LFPB (Bolivia). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Aurora has 1 win, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.50 points per game. Guabirá has 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.25 points per game.
Scoring records
Aurora scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 0.75. Guabirá scores 0.75 and allows 3.00. Games in this league average 3.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Aurora's games and 50% of Guabirá's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 100%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 69% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Guabirá has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.25 per game. Aurora takes 10.8 shots per game, while Guabirá takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Aurora leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Guabirá leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aurora's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Guabirá, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LFPB games average 3.23 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 69% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an Aurora win: at home the hosts are unbeaten (0% losses), with a positive goal difference of +2, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Visitors Guabirá sit 16th and show extremely poor away numbers — 100% away defeats, 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded on average per away match, with a 100% rate of matches without scoring. In terms of chance quality Aurora generates xG 1.77 at home and averages 7 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 13%, while Guabirá away posts xG 1.52, 5.5 shots on target and a 0% conversion rate, and their average xG against is 2.52. Additionally Aurora averages 1.8 points per match over the last 5 games (8 goals in those 5 matches, 2 wins and 3 draws), whereas Guabirá has just 0.4 points per match and scored 3 while conceding 12 in their last 5. Given the superiority in goals (2.0 vs 0.0), better xG and shooting metrics, and the visitors’ overall defensive frailty, I assess the hosts’ probability at 80%, draw 12% and an away upset at 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal against BTTS - Yes is Guabirá's offensive frailty: season away goals average 0.0 and percentage of away matches without scoring is 100%, indicating no consistent goal threat from the visitors. Aurora shows strong offensive metrics — home xG 2.10, on average 19.5 shots and 7.5 shots on target per match — while the opponent has away xG against of 2.52 and a season average of 4.0 goals conceded, so the hosts are expected to score. In the last 5 matches Aurora registered BTTS in 80% of games, whereas Guabirá only in 40%, showing an asymmetry: hosts frequently concede but visitors rarely score. Considering Aurora's 100% season BTTS at home, Guabirá's simultaneous 100% of away matches without a goal, and the league average BTTS of 63% with an average 3.19 goals per match, it is more likely that both teams will not score. Therefore the assessment is 70% for No and 30% for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates high goal potential: expected xG is 2.31 for Aurora (attack xG 2.10 versus Guabirá’s defense conceding 2.52 xG) and 1.33 for Guabirá (attack xG 1.52 versus Aurora’s defense conceding 1.13 xG), totaling 3.64 expected goals. Aurora averages 19.5 shots and 7.5 on target per match, and Guabirá has conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match), supporting a high-scoring scenario. Both teams have season OVER 1.5 and OVER 2.5 rates of 100%, and the league average goals is 3.19, so the probability of OVER 1.5 and OVER 2.5 is significantly increased. The strongest signal is OVER 1.5 (clear edge: 3.64 expected goals and historical 100% OVER 1.5), therefore I recommend betting OVER 1.5 as the safest option. OVER 3.5 has only a small edge (3.64 expected goals, season OVER 3.5 share ≈50% for both), so it is a less certain choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Aurora has a clear offensive advantage: xG 2.1 versus Guabirá’s 1.52, an average of 7.5 shots on target versus 5.5, while Guabirá concedes on average 4.0 goals per season against an xG against of 2.52, indicating a weak away defense. In the last 5 matches Aurora led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%) and in those five games they averaged 1.0 goal by half-time, whereas Guabirá averaged 0.2 goals by half-time and conceded 1.2 goals before the break. Guabirá has not won in their last 5 matches (0% wins) and lost 3 of 5 (60%), and seasonally the visitors are virtually goalless (0.0 goals per match and a 0.0 conversion rate), so they have limited chances for a turnaround. Taking this into account, the most likely scenario is Aurora leading at half-time and winning at full-time — I assess the probability of 1/1 at 36%. Alternative scenarios are 1/X (Aurora lead at half-time and draw at full-time) at 14% and X/1 (draw at half-time and Aurora win at full-time) at 16%, reflecting that Aurora draw in 60% of their last 5 matches while also winning 40% of them.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aurora | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.12 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Aurora is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / game - Aurora · 0.25 pts / game - Guabirá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aurora is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Aurora · 0.75 goals / game - Guabirá
Aurora is 300% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Aurora · 3 goals / game - Guabirá
Aurora scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Guabirá keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 meczów).
Guabirá scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aurora
Over / Under - Guabirá
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aurora is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Aurora · 0.5 pts / game - Guabirá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Guabirá - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aurora
Guabirá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Aurora | Liga | Guabirá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Aurora's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Guabirá. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aurora vs Guabirá?
The LFPB match finished Aurora 4:2 Guabirá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aurora and Guabirá?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aurora won 0, Guabirá won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aurora vs Guabirá?
Aurora score 1.25 goals per game on average and Guabirá 0.75. The LFPB average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Aurora's matches and 50% of Guabirá's.
What form are Aurora and Guabirá in?
Over the last 5 games Aurora have a 1-3-0 record (1.50 points per game) and Guabirá 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aurora vs Guabirá?
The statistical background for Aurora vs Guabirá — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.