Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II: match statistics
Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Austin II played against Colorado Rapids II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on July 6, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Austin II has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Colorado Rapids II has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Austin II scores 2.07 goals per game and allows 0.73. Colorado Rapids II scores 0.75 and allows 2.06. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Austin II's games and 56% of Colorado Rapids II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 44%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Austin II has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.35 per game. Austin II takes 13.9 shots per game, while Colorado Rapids II takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Austin II leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 1.07 goals per game after halftime. Colorado Rapids II leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Austin II's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Colorado Rapids II, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Austin II holds a clear advantage in seasonal data: 11 wins, 3 draws and only 1 loss with 31 goals scored, whereas Colorado Rapids II have 1 win, 4 draws and 11 losses with just 12 goals. In the last 5 matches the hosts have won all 5, scoring 12 and conceding only 2 (avg. 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded per match), while the visitors in that period have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded (0.6 scored, 1.2 conceded), underscoring the form disparity. At home Austin averages 2.13 goals per match, 4.75 shots on target with a 16% conversion rate, while Colorado away averages 0.57 goals per match, 4.43 shots on target and only 6% conversion plus 57% of away matches without scoring, meaning the hosts create and convert significantly more chances. In terms of chance quality Austin’s home xG is 1.57 with xG against 1.09, while Colorado away have xG for 1.38 and xG against 1.62; the visitors concede on average 2.0 goals away and have no away wins (0%), indicating defensive vulnerability. Considering Austin’s 63% home win rate, Colorado’s 0% away win rate, hosts’ 0% matches without a goal and visitors’ 57% such matches, I expect a convincing home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data are mixed: the league percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 62%, and Austin II has a seasonal BTTS of 67% versus Colorado Rapids II's 43%, which on a seasonal basis slightly favors the "Yes"/BTTS - Yes outcome. However, a strong counterargument is recent form over the last 5 matches: both teams have only 40% BTTS in the last 5 (about 2 of 5). Austin II is on a 'wwwww' run and in those 5 matches has scored 12 goals (avg 2.4) while conceding 2 (0.4), whereas Colorado has scored 3 goals (0.6) and conceded 6. Seasonally Colorado averages 0.57 goals (12 goals in the season) versus Austin's 0.89 (31 goals), which shows a clear home advantage in conversion and goal volume. From a chance-quality perspective xG is similar (xG_for 1.33 vs 1.38), but Austin has a higher shot conversion 8% vs 6% for Rapids II and better recent form, suggesting the visitors struggle to finish chances. On this basis I assign 65% to No Goal (clean sheet expected) and 35% to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and current form point to an expectation of about 3.10 total goals: xG calculations give 1.48 goals for Austin II (xG_for 1.33 vs xG_against_away 1.62) and 1.62 for Colorado (xG_for 1.38 vs xG_against_home 1.86), but the last 5 matches (Austin: 12 goals, avg 2.4; Colorado: 3 goals, avg 0.6) adjust the forecast to ~1.80 for Austin and ~1.30 for Colorado (total 3.10). Austin II are in form with 5 wins and have conceded only 0.4 goals on average in the last 5 games, and they also show a higher shot conversion rate 8% versus Colorado’s 6%, which increases the likelihood of further home goals. Both teams have strong tendencies for matches over 1.5 goals (Austin 89% of games >1.5, Colorado 100%), and the league averages 3.24 goals per game, reinforcing the signal for Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line the indicators are mixed (Austin 56% of games >2.5, Colorado 29%), and our adjusted total of 3.10 implies a moderate probability of Over 2.5 (~61%), while Over 3.5 I estimate at about 37% and treat as less certain. Therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 as the strongest and most justified signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1: Austin II led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and won all 5 most recent games (100%), indicating a strong home advantage in the first half. Colorado Rapids II have a 0% win rate this season away and were trailing at half-time in 71% of season matches, which weakens their chances of a favorable result before the break. In the last 5 matches Austin II averaged 1.6 goals by half-time versus 0.2 for Rapids II, with comparable xG of 1.33 (Austin) vs 1.38 (Colorado) and better home shooting efficiency 8% vs 6%. Additionally the hosts kept a clean sheet at half-time in 56% of home games vs 29% for Rapids II, and season-long goals-per-game averages are 0.89 for Austin II versus 0.57 for the visitors, all supporting the scenario of taking the lead and holding on to win. On this basis I assess 1/1 as the most likely outcome (48%), while half-time draws (e.g. X/X 10% or X/1 12%) have significantly less numerical support.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Austin II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Austin II is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Austin II · 1 pts / game - Colorado Rapids II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austin II is 176% better for: goals scored per game.
2.07 goals / game - Austin II · 0.75 goals / game - Colorado Rapids II
Austin II is 182% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Austin II · 2.06 goals / game - Colorado Rapids II
Austin II scores in 100% of games (15 of 15 meczów), while Colorado Rapids II keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 meczów).
Colorado Rapids II scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Austin II keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Austin II
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin II is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.93 pts / game - Austin II · 0.94 pts / game - Colorado Rapids II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austin II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Colorado Rapids II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 6%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Austin II
Colorado Rapids II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Austin II | Liga | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.80 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 65% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 21% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Austin II's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Colorado Rapids II. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Austin II 3:2 Colorado Rapids II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Austin II and Colorado Rapids II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Austin II won 2, Colorado Rapids II won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II?
Austin II score 2.07 goals per game on average and Colorado Rapids II 0.75. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Austin II's matches and 56% of Colorado Rapids II's.
What form are Austin II and Colorado Rapids II in?
Over the last 5 games Austin II have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Colorado Rapids II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austin II vs Colorado Rapids II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.