Austin vs St. Louis City: match statistics
Austin vs St. Louis City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Austin played against St. Louis City in MLS (United States). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Austin has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. St. Louis City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Austin scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.90. St. Louis City scores 1.00 and allows 1.78. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Austin's games and 67% of St. Louis City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 33%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
St. Louis City has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.22 per game. Austin takes 10.5 shots per game, while St. Louis City takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Austin leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. St. Louis City leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Austin's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For St. Louis City, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Austin has a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.2 goals per match with an xG of 1.52, while St. Louis City average only 0.6 goals away with an xG of 1.33. Defensively the hosts perform better — Austin concedes 0.8 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 60% of home matches, whereas the visitors concede 2.0 goals on average away and have no clean sheets on the road. In chance creation Austin register 5 on-target shots and 12.8 shots per match with a 9% conversion rate, while St. Louis average 3.2 on-target shots and 12 shots per match with only a 5% conversion, indicating higher efficiency for the hosts. On the other hand St. Louis have scored 10 goals in their last five matches versus Austin’s 8 and have a better recent points return (1.4 points per match over the last 5 vs 0.8 for Austin), so the visitors can be dangerous in attack. Taking into account superior xG, a higher volume of chances and Austin’s 60% home clean sheet rate, I project a home win — approximately 65% for Austin, 20% draw and 15% for a St. Louis win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Dominant indicators point to a Both Teams To Score scenario: Austin has a seasonal BTTS 75%, St. Louis 60%, versus a league average BTTS 57%, and both teams have BTTS 80% in their last 5 matches. The absence of clean sheets 0% for both home and away amplifies this signal — neither Austin nor St. Louis has kept a clean sheet this season. xG and chance creation also favor goals from both sides: Austin has xG_for 1.97 and xG_against 1.01, St. Louis has xG_for 1.33 and xG_against 1.49, meaning both sides generate expected chances around or above 1.0. Shooting stats confirm Austin’s edge (6.75 on-target and 16.5 shots per match) versus St. Louis (3.2 on-target and 12.0 shots), and with season goal averages 1.5 (Austin) and 0.6 (St. Louis) and St. Louis averaging 2.0 in the last 5 matches, this increases the likelihood both teams will score. Considering seasonal BTTS 75%/60%, clean sheets 0%/0% and recent 80% form, I back BTTS "Yes" with a probability of 80% versus 20% for "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and stats-based model estimates combined xG around 2.90 (Austin 1.73 vs St. Louis 1.17), which implies more than 1.5 goals in the match. Additionally, Austin averages 1.97 xG and 6.75 shots on target per game with a 9% conversion rate, while St. Louis posts 1.33 xG and 3.2 shots on target with a 5% conversion, indicating a home attacking advantage and potential for at least two goals. Historically both teams show high goal rates: season Over1.5 is 75% for Austin and 100% for St. Louis, and in the last 5 matches both sides recorded Over2.5 in 80% of fixtures, further increasing the likelihood of over 1.5 goals. Still, the total xG of 2.90 is below a 3.5 threshold, so Over3.5 would be rated lower (~28%), whereas the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is Over1.5. I recommend backing Over 1.5 with expected goals 1.73 for Austin and 1.17 for St. Louis (total 2.90).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1: Austin led at the break in 25% of their home matches this season, and in the last five games they were leading at half-time in 60% of cases; they average 0.5 goals by the break. St. Louis City have not scored by half-time this season (0.0 on average) and have led after the first 45 minutes in 0% of matches, which significantly reduces their chance of having the lead at the break. Across the full match Austin’s home season average is 1.5 goals versus 0.6 for St. Louis, alongside higher xG (1.97 vs 1.33) and more shots on target (6.75 vs 3.2), indicating a clear superiority in chance creation. The hosts also score after the break — they have netted 3 goals in minutes 46–60, while the visitors conceded 4 in that interval — therefore an Austin lead at half-time has a high probability of being maintained to full-time. Although draws at half-time occur frequently (50% for Austin, 60% for St. Louis), the weight of xG, shots on target and second-half goals makes 1/1 the strongest signal; the distribution also includes alternatives X/1 and X/X, but they are less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Austin | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austin is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Austin · 1 goals / game - St. Louis City
St. Louis City is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.9 goals / game - Austin · 1.78 goals / game - St. Louis City
Austin scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 meczów), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 meczów).
St. Louis City scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Austin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Austin
Over / Under - St. Louis City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austin is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Austin · 0.89 pts / game - St. Louis City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Austin
St. Louis City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Austin | Liga | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.30 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 61% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Austin vs St. Louis City?
The MLS match finished Austin 2:0 St. Louis City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Austin vs St. Louis City?
Austin score 1.40 goals per game on average and St. Louis City 1.00. The MLS average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Austin's matches and 67% of St. Louis City's.
What form are Austin and St. Louis City in?
Over the last 5 games Austin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and St. Louis City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austin vs St. Louis City?
The statistical background for Austin vs St. Louis City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.