Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV: match statistics
Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Austria Salzburg played against Kapfenberger SV in 2. Liga (Austria). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Austria Salzburg has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Kapfenberger SV has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Austria Salzburg scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.40. Kapfenberger SV scores 1.16 and allows 1.76. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Austria Salzburg's games and 60% of Kapfenberger SV's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 60%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kapfenberger SV has the higher season xG average, 1.20 to 1.19 per game. Austria Salzburg takes 9.4 shots per game, while Kapfenberger SV takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Austria Salzburg leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Kapfenberger SV leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.84 after halftime.
When the teams score
Austria Salzburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Kapfenberger SV, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
2. Liga games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Austria Salzburg holds a clear advantage in quality of chances: at home they average 1.58 goals per game, register 3.75 shots on target and have a 16% conversion rate, while Kapfenberger average 0.92 goals, 2.15 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate on the road. Defensively the hosts also perform better — Austria concedes 1.25 goals at home on average and has 33% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 2.15 goals away and keep a clean sheet in only 8% of matches. Short-term form favors the visitors: Salzburg haven’t won in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss) and have 0.8 pts/game in that period, while Kapfenberger have 2 wins and 1.4 pts/game in their last 5; nonetheless the visitors’ poor season-long defense (44 goals conceded) is the biggest concern. The xG gap also favors the hosts: average xG for Salzburg at home is 1.26 versus 1.04 xG for Kapfenberger away, and combined with the higher 3.75 shots on target versus 2.15 this shows Salzburg creates more valuable chances. Considering superior attacking efficiency and the visitors’ much weaker away defense, I forecast a home win; probability distribution: 60% home win, 25% draw, 15% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'BTTS - Yes' scenario is more likely, as both teams register high seasonal BTTS rates: Austria Salzburg 58% and Kapfenberger 62%, versus the league average of 52%. Defensively Salzburg concedes 1.33 goals per game and Kapfenberger 2.15; xG against are 1.81 (Salzburg) and 1.75 (Kapfenberger), indicating both sides allow a considerable number of opponent chances. Offensively Salzburg scores 1.42 goals per game with xG 1.37 and 4.75 shots on target, making them favorites to find the net; Kapfenberger averages 0.92 goals, xG 1.04 and 2.15 shots on target, but despite lower figures posts a 62% BTTS and can score. Short-term signals are mixed — Salzburg had BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, Kapfenberger in 40% — however the low clean sheet rates (Salzburg 17%, Kapfenberger 8%) further support expecting both teams to score. Considering these numbers (BTTS 58%/62%, clean sheets 17%/8%, goals conceded 1.33/2.15 and xG against 1.81/1.75), I assign a 70% probability to BTTS 'Yes' and 30% to 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Austria Salzburg averages 1.42 goals per match with xG 1.37 and 11.25 shots (4.75 on target, conversion 13%), while Kapfenberger SV has 0.92 goals this season with xG 1.04 and 8.69 shots (2.15 on target, conversion 11%). Averaging xG and an estimate from conversion yields expected 1.42 goals for the home side and 1.00 for the visitors, totaling 2.42 goals. A Poisson model with lambda=2.42 gives probabilities of roughly 69% for Over 1.5, 43% for Over 2.5 and 22% for Over 3.5. Seasonal indicators further support Over: Salzburg has 83% of matches over 1.5 goals, Kapfenberger 77%, and BTTS rates are 58% and 62% respectively, suggesting both teams score. Based on this data, the strongest signal is the Over 1.5 market — highest aggregate probability (69%) and confirmation from xG, shots and seasonal rates of 83%/77%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Austria Salzburg shows superior metrics: they average 1.42 goals per match versus 0.92 for Kapfenberger, have an xG of 1.37 vs 1.04 and 1.5 points per match compared to 0.77 for the opponents, indicating a meaningful home advantage. At half-time Salzburg averages 0.42 goals scored and concedes 0.67, while Kapfenberger records 0.23 scored and 1.38 conceded by the break; additionally Salzburg is level at the break in 50% of matches versus 31% for the visitors, suggesting a draw is the most common state after 45 minutes. After the break the hosts are more active — Salzburg scores on average 1.00 goal in the second half versus 0.69 for Kapfenberger and registers 4.75 shots on target per match vs 2.15 for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of a decisive goal after the break. Kapfenberger also concedes a lot in minutes 0–15 (6 conceded vs 1 for Salzburg), revealing the visitors’ vulnerability to early goals; therefore the strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a Salzburg win at full-time (X/1). I assigned that scenario the highest weight (28%), while 1/1 and 2/2 are treated as secondary alternatives (12% and 23% respectively).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Austria Salzburg | Kapfenberger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kapfenberger SV is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Austria Salzburg · 1.4 pts / game - Kapfenberger SV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Austria Salzburg is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Austria Salzburg · 1.16 goals / game - Kapfenberger SV
Austria Salzburg is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Austria Salzburg · 1.76 goals / game - Kapfenberger SV
Austria Salzburg scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Kapfenberger SV keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 meczów).
Kapfenberger SV scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Austria Salzburg keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Austria Salzburg
Over / Under - Kapfenberger SV
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Austria Salzburg is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Austria Salzburg · 0.88 pts / game - Kapfenberger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Austria Salzburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kapfenberger SV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Austria Salzburg
Kapfenberger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Austria Salzburg | Liga | Kapfenberger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.64 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Austria Salzburg's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Kapfenberger SV. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV?
The 2. Liga match finished Austria Salzburg 1:0 Kapfenberger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV?
Austria Salzburg score 1.24 goals per game on average and Kapfenberger SV 1.16. The 2. Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Austria Salzburg's matches and 60% of Kapfenberger SV's.
What form are Austria Salzburg and Kapfenberger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Austria Salzburg have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Kapfenberger SV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.