Avellino vs Calcio Padova: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Avellino has been displaying catastrophic form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 points per match), while Calcio Padova is in much better shape (1.6 points per match, 2 wins). The hosts hold a minimal home advantage (36% home wins), but their high percentage of matches without scoring (36% FTS) and negative goal difference (-4) constitute significant limitations. Padova also has an identical goal difference (-4) and a similar failure-to-score rate (36% FTS) in away games, indicating mutual difficulties in offensive efficiency. Given the hosts' weak form, the guests' better disposition, and the balanced xG and possession statistics, a draw seems the most logical conclusion to this meeting.
Avellino vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Avellino played against Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Avellino has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Calcio Padova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Avellino scores 1.07 goals per game and allows 1.64. Calcio Padova scores 1.07 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Avellino's games and 57% of Calcio Padova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 43%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Calcio Padova has the higher season xG average, 1.21 to 1.11 per game. Avellino takes 9.7 shots per game, while Calcio Padova takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Avellino leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Avellino's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Calcio Padova, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Avellino has been displaying catastrophic form in their last five matches (0 wins, 0.4 points per match), while Calcio Padova is in much better shape (1.6 points per match, 2 wins). The hosts hold a minimal home advantage (36% home wins), but their high percentage of matches without scoring (36% FTS) and negative goal difference (-4) constitute significant limitations. Padova also has an identical goal difference (-4) and a similar failure-to-score rate (36% FTS) in away games, indicating mutual difficulties in offensive efficiency. Given the hosts' weak form, the guests' better disposition, and the balanced xG and possession statistics, a draw seems the most logical conclusion to this meeting.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Avellino | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Calcio Padova is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Avellino · 1.6 pts / game - Calcio Padova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Calcio Padova is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.64 goals / game - Avellino · 1.25 goals / game - Calcio Padova
Avellino scores in 61% of games (17 of 28 meczów), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).
Calcio Padova scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avellino
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avellino is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Avellino · 0.93 pts / game - Calcio Padova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Avellino
Calcio Padova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avellino | Liga | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Avellino's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Calcio Padova. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Avellino vs Calcio Padova?
The Serie B match finished Avellino 1:0 Calcio Padova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Calcio Padova?
Avellino score 1.07 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.07. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Avellino's matches and 57% of Calcio Padova's.
What form are Avellino and Calcio Padova in?
Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Calcio Padova 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Calcio Padova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.