Avellino vs Carrarese: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very close contest between teams occupying neighboring positions in the table (11th and 12th). Avellino displays decent home form with 44% of home matches won, yet their last five overall games show weaker disposition (1.2 points per match). Carrarese, despite poor away efficiency (only 11% wins), shows better current form (1.4 points per match) and fails to score less often (11% FTS% vs 33% for the hosts). Both teams have a negative goal difference in their matches, and the average number of goals in their games is high (3.11 for Avellino at home, 3.56 for Carrarese away). Considering the high draw rate of both teams this season (33% and 44%) and balanced xG values, the most likely result seems to be a share of the points, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to their better home record.
Avellino vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Avellino played against Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Avellino has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Carrarese has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Avellino scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.63. Carrarese scores 1.32 and allows 1.53. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Avellino's games and 53% of Carrarese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 53%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carrarese has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.12 per game. Avellino takes 9.8 shots per game, while Carrarese takes 12.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Avellino leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Carrarese leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.84 after halftime.
When the teams score
Avellino's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Carrarese, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very close contest between teams occupying neighboring positions in the table (11th and 12th). Avellino displays decent home form with 44% of home matches won, yet their last five overall games show weaker disposition (1.2 points per match). Carrarese, despite poor away efficiency (only 11% wins), shows better current form (1.4 points per match) and fails to score less often (11% FTS% vs 33% for the hosts). Both teams have a negative goal difference in their matches, and the average number of goals in their games is high (3.11 for Avellino at home, 3.56 for Carrarese away). Considering the high draw rate of both teams this season (33% and 44%) and balanced xG values, the most likely result seems to be a share of the points, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to their better home record.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Avellino | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carrarese is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Avellino · 1.4 pts / game - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.21 goals / game - Avellino · 1.32 goals / game - Carrarese
Carrarese is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.63 goals / game - Avellino · 1.53 goals / game - Carrarese
Avellino scores in 63% of games (12 of 19 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 meczów).
Carrarese scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Avellino
Over / Under - Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avellino is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / game - Avellino · 1.11 pts / game - Carrarese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Avellino
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avellino | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.84 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Avellino's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Carrarese. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Avellino vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Avellino 1:2 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Carrarese?
Avellino score 1.21 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.32. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Avellino's matches and 53% of Carrarese's.
What form are Avellino and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Carrarese 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Carrarese?
The statistical background for Avellino vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.