Avellino vs Cesena: match statistics
Cesena performs significantly better as an away team with a 55% away win rate and a positive goal difference (+1), while Avellino has only a 40% home win rate and a negative goal difference (-3). The visitors are in 5th place in the table, while the hosts are in 13th position, which reflects the difference in quality between the two teams. Cesena demonstrates better offensive efficiency (1.27 goals per away game) and a more solid defense (1.18 goals conceded) compared to Avellino (1.4 goals scored, but as many as 1.7 goals conceded at home). The form in the last five matches is poor for both teams; however, Cesena has better xG figures (1.33 to 1.18), suggesting greater offensive potential. Considering all statistics, Cesena has the advantage and should secure three points in this clash.
Avellino vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Avellino play Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 31 January 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Avellino: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Cesena: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Avellino scores 1.10 and concedes 1.49 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.18 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Avellino 49%, Cesena 61%. Over 2.5: Avellino 46%, Cesena 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cesena has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.15. Avellino: 9.9 shots per match, Cesena: 13.1.
Match halves
Avellino: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.59. Cesena: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Avellino: 31-45+ (10 goals). Cesena: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Cesena performs significantly better as an away team with a 55% away win rate and a positive goal difference (+1), while Avellino has only a 40% home win rate and a negative goal difference (-3). The visitors are in 5th place in the table, while the hosts are in 13th position, which reflects the difference in quality between the two teams. Cesena demonstrates better offensive efficiency (1.27 goals per away game) and a more solid defense (1.18 goals conceded) compared to Avellino (1.4 goals scored, but as many as 1.7 goals conceded at home). The form in the last five matches is poor for both teams; however, Cesena has better xG figures (1.33 to 1.18), suggesting greater offensive potential. Considering all statistics, Cesena has the advantage and should secure three points in this clash.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Avellino | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Avellino is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Avellino · 0.4 pts / match - Cesena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cesena is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Avellino · 1.18 goals / match - Cesena
Avellino scores in 64% of matches (25 of 39 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Cesena scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Avellino
Over / Under — Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avellino is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Avellino · 1.16 pts / match - Cesena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Avellino
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Avellino | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Avellino 0 - 0 - 1 Cesena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Avellino vs Cesena?
The Serie B match finished Avellino 3:1 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Cesena?
Avellino score 1.10 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.18. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Avellino's matches and 61% of Cesena's.
What form are Avellino and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Cesena 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Cesena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Avellino vs Cesena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.