AVS vs Estrela Amadora: match statistics
Estrela Amadora appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. AVS presents catastrophic home form with just 8% wins at home and a staggering 67% loss rate, conceding nearly 2 goals per match on average. The hosts have won only 1 match all season and sit in 18th place in the table, which evidences their desperate situation. Estrela Amadora, although not in peak form, possesses better scoring efficiency (15% shot conversion versus 7% for AVS) and greater experience in securing points. The difference in xG (expected goals) also speaks in favor of the visitors, who have a better offensive record. Considering AVS's fatal streak (12 matches without a win at home) and the relatively higher quality of Estrela, the visitors have a real chance of securing three points, although their own defensive issues could lead to a draw.
AVS vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AVS played against Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
AVS has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Estrela Amadora has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
AVS scores 0.78 goals per game and allows 2.48. Estrela Amadora scores 1.13 and allows 1.78. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of AVS's games and 48% of Estrela Amadora's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 52%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AVS has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.13 per game. AVS takes 10.7 shots per game, while Estrela Amadora takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
AVS leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Estrela Amadora leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
AVS's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Estrela Amadora, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Estrela Amadora appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. AVS presents catastrophic home form with just 8% wins at home and a staggering 67% loss rate, conceding nearly 2 goals per match on average. The hosts have won only 1 match all season and sit in 18th place in the table, which evidences their desperate situation. Estrela Amadora, although not in peak form, possesses better scoring efficiency (15% shot conversion versus 7% for AVS) and greater experience in securing points. The difference in xG (expected goals) also speaks in favor of the visitors, who have a better offensive record. Considering AVS's fatal streak (12 matches without a win at home) and the relatively higher quality of Estrela, the visitors have a real chance of securing three points, although their own defensive issues could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AVS | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
0.78 goals / game - AVS · 1.13 goals / game - Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora is 39% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.48 goals / game - AVS · 1.78 goals / game - Estrela Amadora
AVS scores in 48% of games (11 of 23 meczów), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
Estrela Amadora scores in 57% of games (13 of 23 meczów), while AVS keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AVS
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estrela Amadora is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / game - AVS · 1 pts / game - Estrela Amadora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AVS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 4%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AVS
Estrela Amadora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| AVS | Liga | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.26 | 2.78 | ▲ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 30% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AVS's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Estrela Amadora. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AVS vs Estrela Amadora?
The Liga NOS match finished AVS 0:0 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AVS vs Estrela Amadora?
AVS score 0.78 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 1.13. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 43% of AVS's matches and 48% of Estrela Amadora's.
What form are AVS and Estrela Amadora in?
Over the last 5 games AVS have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AVS vs Estrela Amadora?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AVS vs Estrela Amadora: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.