AVS vs Vitória Guimarães: match statistics
AVS vs Vitória Guimarães: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AVS play Vitória Guimarães in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AVS: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Vitória Guimarães: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AVS scores 0.79 and concedes 1.97 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães scores 1.15 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AVS 44%, Vitória Guimarães 41%. Over 2.5: AVS 59%, Vitória Guimarães 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.17. AVS: 11.1 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães: 13.3.
Match halves
AVS: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.50. Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
AVS: 76-90+ (7 goals). Vitória Guimarães: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I expect a Vitória Guimarães win based on season-long metrics favoring the visitors: 10 wins versus AVS’s 1 and 34 goals scored versus 18, with the visitors netting 7 in their last 5 matches while the hosts have 0. In chance creation Vitória posts an away xG of 1.41 versus the home xG of 1.21 for AVS, higher average possession (52% vs 41%), more shots per game (13.31 vs 11.21) and slightly more shots on target (3.62 vs 3.43). Both teams concede frequently — the home side averages 1.71 goals conceded at home, the visitors 1.85 away — but Vitória has a lower xG against (1.27 vs 1.55) and a higher clean sheet rate (31% vs 14%). Form and efficiency also favor the visitors: AVS have failed to score in their last 5 matches and hold only a 7% home win rate, whereas Vitória average 0.8 points per game over the last 5 versus 0.6 for AVS. Considering the xG (1.41 vs 1.21), possession (52% vs 41%) and season wins (10 vs 1) advantages, I estimate the probabilities as: Vitória win ~65%, draw 25%, AVS win 10%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AVS | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AVS is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - AVS · 1.2 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vitória Guimarães is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - AVS · 1.15 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.97 goals / match - AVS · 1.5 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
AVS scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Vitória Guimarães scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while AVS keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AVS
Over / Under — Vitória Guimarães
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória Guimarães is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.74 pts / match - AVS · 1.06 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AVS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AVS
Vitória Guimarães
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| AVS | Liga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.76 | 2.68 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AVS 0 - 0 - 1 Vitória Guimarães. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AVS vs Vitória Guimarães?
The Liga NOS match finished AVS 1:1 Vitória Guimarães. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AVS vs Vitória Guimarães?
AVS score 0.79 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães 1.15. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 44% of AVS's matches and 41% of Vitória Guimarães's.
What form are AVS and Vitória Guimarães in?
Over the last 5 games AVS have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AVS vs Vitória Guimarães?
The statistical background for AVS vs Vitória Guimarães — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.