Awassa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Awassa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Awassa Kenema play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Awassa Kenema: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Awassa Kenema scores 0.95 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Awassa Kenema 45%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Awassa Kenema 26%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.07. Awassa Kenema: 6.8 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.
Match halves
Awassa Kenema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.58. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Awassa Kenema: 46-60 (8 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Awassa Kenema is the favorite: they sit 5th in the table versus Arba Minch in 20th, have 11 wins this season versus 5 and a superior goal record 31–26 versus 25–37. At home Awassa averages 1.13 goals scored and concedes 0.80 per match (home wins 40%, clean sheets 33%), while Arba on the road scores 1.00 and concedes 0.87 (away wins 33%, clean sheets 40%). The last 5 matches, however, favor the visitors: Arba have scored 7 goals, have 1 win and 1.2 points per match, whereas Awassa haven’t won in their last 5, have scored only 2 goals and have 0.6 PPG. Arba generate more shots away (7.73 per match) and more shots on target (3.07) than Awassa at home (6.67 and 2.47 respectively), and xG is similar (away xG 1.18 vs home 1.13); however Awassa have a higher shot conversion (conversion 17% vs 13%) and less frequently fail to score (FTS 20% vs 33%). Considering the hosts’ higher position and better season-long record alongside Arba’s better current form, I predict a home win with a probability distribution of 55%–25%–20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Awassa Kenema | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arba Minch Kenema is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Awassa Kenema · 1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Awassa Kenema is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Awassa Kenema · 0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Awassa Kenema is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Awassa Kenema · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Awassa Kenema scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Awassa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Awassa Kenema
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arba Minch Kenema is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Awassa Kenema · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Awassa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Awassa Kenema
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Awassa Kenema | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.82 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Awassa Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Awassa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Awassa Kenema 0:0 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Awassa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Awassa Kenema score 0.95 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Awassa Kenema's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Awassa Kenema and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Awassa Kenema have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Awassa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.