Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Awassa Kenema presents solid home form with 50% wins at home and only 25% losses, making them the favorite for this encounter. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five matches overall (2 wins, 3 draws) and have conceded only one goal, evidencing a very good defense. Mebrat Hayl faces serious effectiveness issues on the road—averaging only 0.38 goals per match, and failing to score in 63% of away games. The visitors have won a mere 13% of their away matches and hold a negative goal difference (-3), which further diminishes their chances. Considering the hosts' advantage in form, efficiency, and defense, I expect an Awassa Kenema victory, though the relatively low scoring efficiency of both teams could lead to a draw.
Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Awassa Kenema played against Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 30, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Awassa Kenema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Mebrat Hayl has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Awassa Kenema scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 0.65. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.65 and allows 0.47. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Awassa Kenema's games and 24% of Mebrat Hayl's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 18%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mebrat Hayl has the higher season xG average, 1.10 to 1.04 per game. Awassa Kenema takes 6.1 shots per game, while Mebrat Hayl takes 6.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Awassa Kenema leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Mebrat Hayl leads at halftime in 6% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Awassa Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Mebrat Hayl, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Awassa Kenema presents solid home form with 50% wins at home and only 25% losses, making them the favorite for this encounter. The hosts remain unbeaten in their last five matches overall (2 wins, 3 draws) and have conceded only one goal, evidencing a very good defense. Mebrat Hayl faces serious effectiveness issues on the road—averaging only 0.38 goals per match, and failing to score in 63% of away games. The visitors have won a mere 13% of their away matches and hold a negative goal difference (-3), which further diminishes their chances. Considering the hosts' advantage in form, efficiency, and defense, I expect an Awassa Kenema victory, though the relatively low scoring efficiency of both teams could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Awassa Kenema | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Awassa Kenema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Awassa Kenema · 1.2 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Awassa Kenema is 63% better for: goals scored per game.
1.06 goals / game - Awassa Kenema · 0.65 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.65 goals / game - Awassa Kenema · 0.47 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl
Awassa Kenema scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 65% (11 of 17 meczów).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 47% of games (8 of 17 meczów), while Awassa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Awassa Kenema
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Awassa Kenema is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Awassa Kenema · 0.94 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Awassa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Awassa Kenema
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Awassa Kenema | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.71 | 1.72 | ▼ 1.12 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 41% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 41% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Awassa KenemaGoalGetaneh Kebede Gebeto
FAQ
What was the result of Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Awassa Kenema 2:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Awassa Kenema score 1.06 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.65. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Awassa Kenema's matches and 24% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Awassa Kenema and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Awassa Kenema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The statistical background for Awassa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.