Scotland - ChampionshipSomerset ParkData current as of September 08, 2026

Ayr United vs Inverness CT: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ayr United vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ayr United plays Inverness CT in Championship (Scotland). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026. Venue: Somerset Park.

Recent form

Ayr United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Inverness CT has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Ayr United scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 1.00. Inverness CT scores 0.40 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Ayr United's games and 40% of Inverness CT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 20%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 16% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.10 to 0.87 per game. Ayr United takes 5.8 shots per game, while Inverness CT takes 6.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Ayr United leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.20 goals per game after halftime. Inverness CT leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ayr United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Inverness CT, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 16% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.70)
(3.20)
(2.30)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.8Goals scored / game0.4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
1Goals allowed / game1.2
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
37%Average possession57%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
2.8Shots on target / game4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

5.8Shots per game6.8
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
2.8Shots on target4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
13.8%Shot conversion5.9%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
37%Possession57%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.87xG for1.1
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
1.26xG against0.9
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Shooting quality

Ayr United: Counter-attackingInverness CT: Balanced
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)48%59%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.10

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ayr United is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Ayr United · 0.6 pts / game - Inverness CT

Ayr United
WDLDL
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Inverness CT
DDDLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W60% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ayr United is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

0.8 goals / game - Ayr United · 0.4 goals / game - Inverness CT

Ayr United is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Ayr United · 1.2 goals / game - Inverness CT

Ayr United scoring profile: mixed

Ayr United scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).

Inverness CT scoring profile: mixed

Inverness CT scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).

4Goals scored (season)2
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
5Goals conceded (season)6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
1.8Average goals per game1.6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
4Goals scored (last 5)2
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal40%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
20%2 goals0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%3 goals0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
20%2 goals40%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%3 goals20%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
20%Scored in both halves0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 540%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ayr United is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / game - Ayr United · 0.4 pts / game - Inverness CT

Ayr United - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per game (1st half)0.4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
40%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
40%No goal before half-time100%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)1
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.4Average goals (2nd half)1
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
80%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
80%No goal after half-time60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Ayr United - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.6

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Inverness CT - second-half results

20% W40% R40% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ayr United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.2
Average goals per game1.40.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
24%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
24%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Ayr UnitedLigaInverness CT
Average goals per game 1.801.76 1.60
Both teams scored 40%36% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%16% 20%
Clean sheets 20%38% 40%
Goal before half-time 100%60% 60%
Goal after half-time 40%64% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.76
Average goals per game
36%
Both teams scored
16%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.08
Home goals / game
0.68
Away goals / game
+59%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
20%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Ayr United and Inverness CT play?

Ayr United face Inverness CT on September 12, 2026 in Championship at Somerset Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Inverness CT?

Ayr United score 0.80 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 0.40. The Championship average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 16% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ayr United's matches and 40% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Ayr United and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inverness CT 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.