Scotland - ChampionshipData current as of 24 July 2026

Ayr United vs Queen's Park: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ayr United vs Queen's Park: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ayr United play Queen's Park in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 10 March 2026 at 20:45.

Current form

Ayr United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Queen's Park: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ayr United scores 1.06 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Queen's Park scores 0.97 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ayr United 61%, Queen's Park 56%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 42%, Queen's Park 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Ayr United has higher xG: 1.35 vs 0.97. Ayr United: 10.3 shots per match, Queen's Park: 7.4.

Match halves

Ayr United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.36. Queen's Park: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Ayr United: 16-30 (10 goals). Queen's Park: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-3-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.74)
(3.28)
(4.53)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
1.06Goals scored / match0.97
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
1.31Goals conceded / match1.33
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
50%Average possession43%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
3.86Shots on target / match2.69
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.33Shots per match7.44
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
3.86Shots on target2.69
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
10.2%Shot conversion13.1%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
50%Possession43%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
1.35xG for0.97
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
1.26xG against1.62
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

Shooting quality

Ayr United: BalancedQueen's Park: Counter-attacking
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Queen's Park is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Ayr United · 1 pts / match - Queen's Park

Ayr United
LWLLL
Season result split
22% W42% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-15-13
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-7-7
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Queen's Park
WLDLD
Season result split
25% W39% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-14-13
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-7
Last 5 away
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ayr United is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.97 goals / match - Queen's Park

Ayr United scoring profile: very strong

Ayr United scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Queen's Park keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).

Queen's Park scoring profile: very strong

Queen's Park scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

38Goals scored (season)35
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
47Goals conceded (season)48
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
2.36Average goals in match2.31
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
3Goals scored (last 5)2
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal67%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
22%2 goals22%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
8%3 goals8%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
3%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal75%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
36%2 goals31%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
14%3 goals14%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
3%4 goals11%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time22%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
8%Scored in both halves14%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
40%BTTS - last 520%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ayr United is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.19 pts / match - Queen's Park

Ayr United - half-time state
36% leading31% draw33% trailing
Queen's Park - half-time state
25% leading44% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)1.19
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.47
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.17
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
56%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
50%No goal before half-time56%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.14
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
47%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park
69%No goal after half-time64%
Ayr UnitedQueen's Park

Ayr United - second-half results

17% W47% R36% P
50
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Queen's Park - second-half results

22% W44% R33% P
43
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ayr United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Queen's Park - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
9
8
0-15
10
4
16-30
6
7
31-45
4
10
46-60
2
7
61-75
7
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Queen's Park
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
4
12
16-30
10
8
31-45
2
7
46-60
6
5
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Queen's Park

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Ayr UnitedLigaQueen's Park
Average goals in match 2.362.43 2.31
Both teams scored 61%48% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%44% 39%
Clean sheets 22%33% 25%
Goal before half-time 78%70% 72%
Goal after half-time 64%68% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Ayr United 0 - 3 - 0 Queen's Park. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Queen's Park FC
1 : 1
Ayr United FC
Queen's Park FC
0 : 0
Ayr United FC
Ayr United FC
1 : 1
Queen's Park FC

FAQ

When do Ayr United and Queen's Park play?

Ayr United face Queen's Park on 10 March 2026 in Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Queen's Park?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 0, Queen's Park won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Queen's Park?

Ayr United score 1.06 goals per game on average and Queen's Park 0.97. The Championship average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Ayr United's matches and 56% of Queen's Park's.

What form are Ayr United and Queen's Park in?

Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Queen's Park 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Queen's Park?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ayr United vs Queen's Park: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.