Ayr United vs Raith Rovers: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with a slight edge for a draw. Ayr United has a better attacking record at home (averaging 1.2 goals, xG 1.43), yet their recent form is concerning - just 1 point per game in their last 5 matches and as many as 50% draws at home this season. Raith Rovers displays solid defense away from home (64% clean sheets, averaging only 0.82 goals conceded), but they have serious offensive issues - a mere 0.45 goals per match away and 64% of games without a scored goal. The home team has a slight possession advantage (52% vs 48%) and a better conversion rate (11% vs 5%), which gives them a chance for victory. Considering Raith's defensive posture and Ayr's tendency to draw at home, the most likely outcome is a share of the points in a low-scoring encounter.
Ayr United vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ayr United played against Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Ayr United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Raith Rovers has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ayr United scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 1.18. Raith Rovers scores 1.17 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Ayr United's games and 30% of Raith Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 35%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ayr United has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.30 per game. Ayr United takes 11.2 shots per game, while Raith Rovers takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ayr United leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.36 goals per game after halftime. Raith Rovers leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ayr United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For Raith Rovers, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with a slight edge for a draw. Ayr United has a better attacking record at home (averaging 1.2 goals, xG 1.43), yet their recent form is concerning - just 1 point per game in their last 5 matches and as many as 50% draws at home this season. Raith Rovers displays solid defense away from home (64% clean sheets, averaging only 0.82 goals conceded), but they have serious offensive issues - a mere 0.45 goals per match away and 64% of games without a scored goal. The home team has a slight possession advantage (52% vs 48%) and a better conversion rate (11% vs 5%), which gives them a chance for victory. Considering Raith's defensive posture and Ayr's tendency to draw at home, the most likely outcome is a share of the points in a low-scoring encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.27 goals / game - Ayr United · 1.17 goals / game - Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Ayr United · 1.04 goals / game - Raith Rovers
Ayr United scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 meczów).
Raith Rovers scores in 57% of games (13 of 23 meczów), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Raith Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Ayr United · 1.13 pts / game - Raith Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ayr United
Raith Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.45 | 2.50 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 51% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ayr United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Raith Rovers. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?
The Championship match finished Ayr United 2:1 Raith Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Raith Rovers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 1, Raith Rovers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?
Ayr United score 1.27 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.17. The Championship average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Ayr United's matches and 30% of Raith Rovers's.
What form are Ayr United and Raith Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Raith Rovers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Raith Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ayr United vs Raith Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.