Ayr United vs Ross County: match statistics
Ayr United is currently 4th in the table, while Ross County occupies a distant 10th place, indicating a clear quality gap between the sides. The hosts boast a significantly better home goal difference (0) compared to the visitors' away goal difference (-10). Ross County has a very poor away scoring record, averaging just 0.73 goals per match and failing to score in 45% of their away fixtures. Ayr United demonstrates stable home form with a 45% draw rate and 27% win rate, whereas Ross County wins only 18% of their away matches. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.37 vs 1.15), suggesting superior chance creation quality. Considering all these factors, Ayr United has a realistic chance of securing a victory, although their high percentage of home draws this season warrants caution in the prediction.
Ayr United vs Ross County: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ayr United played against Ross County in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Ayr United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Ross County has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Ayr United scores 1.30 goals per game and allows 1.17. Ross County scores 0.92 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Ayr United's games and 42% of Ross County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 46%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ayr United has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.34 per game. Ayr United takes 10.9 shots per game, while Ross County takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Ayr United leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Ross County leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ayr United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For Ross County, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ayr United is currently 4th in the table, while Ross County occupies a distant 10th place, indicating a clear quality gap between the sides. The hosts boast a significantly better home goal difference (0) compared to the visitors' away goal difference (-10). Ross County has a very poor away scoring record, averaging just 0.73 goals per match and failing to score in 45% of their away fixtures. Ayr United demonstrates stable home form with a 45% draw rate and 27% win rate, whereas Ross County wins only 18% of their away matches. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.37 vs 1.15), suggesting superior chance creation quality. Considering all these factors, Ayr United has a realistic chance of securing a victory, although their high percentage of home draws this season warrants caution in the prediction.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ross County is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Ayr United · 1.8 pts / game - Ross County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
1.3 goals / game - Ayr United · 0.92 goals / game - Ross County
Ayr United is 39% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Ayr United · 1.63 goals / game - Ross County
Ayr United scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Ross County keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
Ross County scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 meczów), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Ross County
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / game - Ayr United · 1.04 pts / game - Ross County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ross County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ayr United
Ross County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.48 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 44% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 32% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ayr United's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Ross County. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayr United vs Ross County?
The Championship match finished Ayr United 0:0 Ross County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Ross County?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 0, Ross County won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Ross County?
Ayr United score 1.30 goals per game on average and Ross County 0.92. The Championship average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Ayr United's matches and 42% of Ross County's.
What form are Ayr United and Ross County in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ross County 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Ross County?
The statistical background for Ayr United vs Ross County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.