Ayr United vs St. Johnstone: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ayr United play St. Johnstone in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 12 December 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 2:4.

Current form

Ayr United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. St. Johnstone: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ayr United scores 1.06 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. St. Johnstone scores 1.86 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ayr United 61%, St. Johnstone 42%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 42%, St. Johnstone 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

St. Johnstone has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.35. Ayr United: 10.3 shots per match, St. Johnstone: 15.2.

Match halves

Ayr United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.36. St. Johnstone: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Ayr United: 16-30 (10 goals). St. Johnstone: 16-30 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 4
2nd half

Match statistics

32Possession (%)68
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
4Shots15
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
3Shots on target7
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.69xG1.86
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
2Corners7
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
30Dangerous attacks58
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
7Fouls13
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1Cards4
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.06Goals scored / match1.86
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.31Goals conceded / match0.69
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
50%Average possession60%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
3.86Shots on target / match5.11
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.33Shots per match15.17
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
3.86Shots on target5.11
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
10.2%Shot conversion12.3%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
50%Possession60%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.35xG for1.78
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.26xG against0.83
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Shooting quality

Ayr United: BalancedSt. Johnstone: Dominant
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

St. Johnstone is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Ayr United · 3 pts / match - St. Johnstone

Ayr United
LWLLL
Season result split
22% W42% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-15-13
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-7-7
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
St. Johnstone
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
61% W31% R8% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-11-3
2.14 pts / match · goal difference +42
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-5-2
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 0.67BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

St. Johnstone is 75% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.86 goals / match - St. Johnstone

St. Johnstone is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.69 goals / match - St. Johnstone

Ayr United scoring profile: mixed

Ayr United scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while St. Johnstone keeps a clean sheet in 56% (20 of 36 matches).

St. Johnstone scoring profile: very strong

St. Johnstone scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

38Goals scored (season)67
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
47Goals conceded (season)25
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
2.36Average goals in match2.56
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
3Goals scored (last 5)13
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
8Goals conceded (last 5)2
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal81%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
22%2 goals53%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
8%3 goals28%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
3%4 goals19%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal44%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
36%2 goals19%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
14%3 goals6%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
3%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time14%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
8%Scored in both halves31%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
40%BTTS - last 520%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

St. Johnstone is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.72 pts / match - St. Johnstone

Ayr United - half-time state
36% leading31% draw33% trailing
St. Johnstone - half-time state
44% leading39% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)1.72
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.92
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.28
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
56%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
50%No goal before half-time47%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)1.89
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.28
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
47%Clean sheet after half-time78%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
69%No goal after half-time42%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Ayr United - second-half results

17% W47% R36% P
50
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

St. Johnstone - second-half results

50% W39% R11% P
62
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
68
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ayr United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
St. Johnstone - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.20
Goals scored / match1.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+6+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
9
8
0-15
10
4
16-30
6
7
31-45
4
10
46-60
2
7
61-75
7
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

St. Johnstone
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
16
2
16-30
11
6
31-45
10
5
46-60
9
3
61-75
15
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

St. Johnstone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.95
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.86
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Ayr UnitedLigaSt. Johnstone
Average goals in match 2.362.43 2.56
Both teams scored 61%48% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%44% 47%
Clean sheets 22%33% 56%
Goal before half-time 78%70% 69%
Goal after half-time 64%68% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Ayr United 0 - 1 - 2 St. Johnstone. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Ayr United vs St. Johnstone?

The Championship match finished Ayr United 2:4 St. Johnstone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and St. Johnstone?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 0, St. Johnstone won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs St. Johnstone?

Ayr United score 1.06 goals per game on average and St. Johnstone 1.86. The Championship average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Ayr United's matches and 42% of St. Johnstone's.

What form are Ayr United and St. Johnstone in?

Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and St. Johnstone 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs St. Johnstone?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ayr United vs St. Johnstone: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.