Scotland - ChampionshipData current as of September 21, 2026

Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ayr United plays Stenhousemuir in Championship (Scotland). The game is scheduled for September 25, 2026.

Recent form

Ayr United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Stenhousemuir has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Ayr United scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.14. Stenhousemuir scores 1.57 and allows 0.29. Games in this league average 1.94 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Ayr United's games and 29% of Stenhousemuir's. The Over 2.5 rates are 14% and 14%, compared with league averages of 34% for BTTS and 23% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Stenhousemuir has the higher season xG average, 1.12 to 1.00 per game. Ayr United takes 6.6 shots per game, while Stenhousemuir takes 6.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Ayr United leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ayr United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Stenhousemuir, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 1.94 goals. Both teams score in 34% of games, and 23% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.25)
(3.14)
(2.91)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
1Goals scored / game1.57
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
1.14Goals allowed / game0.29
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
41%Average possession50%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
3.14Shots on target / game2.86
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.57Shots per game6.29
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
3.14Shots on target2.86
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
15.2%Shot conversion25%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
41%Possession50%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
1xG for1.12
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
1.26xG against1.34
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

Shooting quality

Ayr United: Counter-attackingStenhousemuir: Efficient finishing
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
Accuracy (shots on target)48%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.55

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Stenhousemuir is 275% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Ayr United · 3 pts / game - Stenhousemuir

Ayr United
LDLLW
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Stenhousemuir
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
86% W14% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-0
2.71 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stenhousemuir is 57% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Ayr United · 1.57 goals / game - Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir is 293% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Ayr United · 0.29 goals / game - Stenhousemuir

Ayr United scoring profile: mixed

Ayr United scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 games).

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: very strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

7Goals scored (season)11
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
8Goals conceded (season)2
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
2.14Average goals per game1.86
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
7Goals conceded (last 5)1
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal100%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
29%2 goals43%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0%3 goals14%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal29%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
29%2 goals0%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
14%3 goals0%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

34%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time14%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
29%Scored in both halves14%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
40%BTTS - last 520%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stenhousemuir is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / game - Ayr United · 1.86 pts / game - Stenhousemuir

Ayr United - half-time state
43% leading14% draw43% trailing
Stenhousemuir - half-time state
43% leading57% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per game (1st half)1.86
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.57
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
1.57Average goals (1st half)0.71
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
43%Clean sheet before half-time86%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
29%No goal before half-time43%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)2.14
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)1
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.14
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
0.57Average goals (2nd half)1.14
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
71%Clean sheet after half-time86%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir
71%No goal after half-time43%
Ayr UnitedStenhousemuir

Ayr United - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.6

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

57% W43% D0% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 86%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ayr United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game1.60.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Stenhousemuir - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.20
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
4
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
189%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
26%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Ayr UnitedLigaStenhousemuir
Average goals per game 2.141.94 1.86
Both teams scored 43%34% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 14%23% 14%
Clean sheets 29%39% 71%
Goal before half-time 100%63% 57%
Goal after half-time 57%66% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.94
Average goals per game
34%
Both teams scored
23%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.11
Home goals / game
0.83
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Ayr United and Stenhousemuir play?

Ayr United face Stenhousemuir on September 25, 2026 in Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir?

Ayr United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.57. The Championship average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ayr United's matches and 29% of Stenhousemuir's.

What form are Ayr United and Stenhousemuir in?

Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.