AZ vs ADO Den Haag: match statistics

ADO Den Haag rank 1st in the away table, while AZ are third at home, with the current form showing an even clearer difference. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 16 goals in the process—an average of 3.2 goals per game—while conceding just 5. AZ remain unbeaten in their last five matches, but drew 4 of them, winning only once. During this period, the hosts scored 10 goals and conceded 6, which is a weaker record than ADO Den Haag’s 16:5. With the visitors averaging 2.4 points from their last five matches compared with AZ’s 1.4, an away win should be considered the more likely outcome.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches, equating to 60% each and providing a clear argument for a goal from both sides. During this period, AZ averaged 2.0 goals, while ADO Den Haag averaged as many as 3.2, with the teams scoring 10 and 16 goals respectively across five matches. Their attacking potential is further supported by xG figures of 1.98 for AZ and 2.04 for ADO Den Haag. AZ also conceded an average of 1.2 goals and allowed opponents an xG of 1.46, giving the in-form visitors solid grounds to get on the scoresheet. ADO Den Haag defended slightly better, with an average of 1.0 goals conceded and an xG against of 1.15, but the hosts’ attacking consistency supports the BTTS scenario.

AZ’s last five matches produced an average of 3.2 goals, with the team scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. ADO Den Haag are even more attacking-minded: they scored 16 goals in five appearances, averaging 3.2 per match, while conceding just 1.0 goal. The xG output is also high, standing at 1.98 for AZ and 2.04 for ADO, while the hosts allow opponents 1.46 xG per game. The 2.5 goals line was surpassed in 60% of AZ’s last matches and in as many as 80% of ADO’s games, but the strongest signal remains a goal from both sides or greater efficiency from one team. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals has a clear edge, supported by a projected total of 3.15 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and an ADO Den Haag win at full-time, as the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals compared with AZ’s 2.0. Both teams had a lead at the break in 60% of their recent matches, but each recorded a draw after 45 minutes in 40% of games, leaving strong potential for an evenly balanced opening. After the break, ADO score an average of 2.2 goals and win the second half in 80% of cases, while AZ score just 1.0 goal in this phase and lose the second half in 40% of matches. The visitors’ superiority in the closing stages is further reflected in their second-half goal difference of +8, compared with AZ’s zero, making an ADO takeover of the match more likely after a quieter first half.