AZ vs NEC: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely tight, which favors a draw. AZ has a solid home record with 44% wins and only 11% losses at home, but their average goals conceded (1.78) indicates defensive frailties. NEC is in excellent form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive average of 2.4 goals per away game, though they have failed to keep a single clean sheet on the road. Both teams have an identical goal difference (+4) in their matches, and the xG statistics are very close (AZ 1.93 vs NEC 1.91). AZ's high percentage of draws at home (44%) combined with NEC drawing 30% of their away matches further supports the scenario of a share of the points. I anticipate an open, high-scoring affair ending in a draw.
AZ vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AZ played against NEC in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
AZ has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. NEC has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
AZ scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 1.60. NEC scores 2.58 and allows 1.74. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of AZ's games and 79% of NEC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 84%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NEC has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.80 per game. AZ takes 16.2 shots per game, while NEC takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
AZ leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. NEC leads at halftime in 32% and scores 1.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
AZ's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For NEC, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely tight, which favors a draw. AZ has a solid home record with 44% wins and only 11% losses at home, but their average goals conceded (1.78) indicates defensive frailties. NEC is in excellent form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive average of 2.4 goals per away game, though they have failed to keep a single clean sheet on the road. Both teams have an identical goal difference (+4) in their matches, and the xG statistics are very close (AZ 1.93 vs NEC 1.91). AZ's high percentage of draws at home (44%) combined with NEC drawing 30% of their away matches further supports the scenario of a share of the points. I anticipate an open, high-scoring affair ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AZ | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NEC is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - AZ · 2.2 pts / game - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 47% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - AZ · 2.58 goals / game - NEC
AZ is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - AZ · 1.74 goals / game - NEC
AZ scores in 95% of games (19 of 20 meczów), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
NEC scores in 95% of games (18 of 19 meczów), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AZ
Over / Under - NEC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AZ is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - AZ · 1.32 pts / game - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AZ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AZ
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| AZ | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.35 | 3.25 | ▲ 4.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 62% | ▲ 84% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AZ's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against NEC. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AZ vs NEC?
The Eredivisie match finished AZ 1:3 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AZ vs NEC?
AZ score 1.75 goals per game on average and NEC 2.58. The Eredivisie average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 70% of AZ's matches and 79% of NEC's.
What form are AZ and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games AZ have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and NEC 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AZ vs NEC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AZ vs NEC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.