Azam vs KMC: match statistics
Azam vs KMC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Azam played against KMC in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on May 25, 2026. Venue: Chamazi Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Azam has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. KMC has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Azam scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 0.39. KMC scores 0.59 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 2.11 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 22% of Azam's games and 32% of KMC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 36%, compared with league averages of 35% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Azam has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.29 per game. Azam takes 10.0 shots per game, while KMC takes 6.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Azam leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. KMC leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
Azam's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For KMC, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 2.11 goals. Both teams score in 35% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Azam is the clear favorite in this matchup: at home they win 67% of matches and have 100% clean sheets (0 goals conceded per home match on average), while KMC has not recorded a single away win (0% wins and 92% losses). Offensively Azam averages 1.5 goals per home match with xG 1.88; in the last 5 matches they scored 9 goals (4 wins, 1 loss). KMC away scores only 0.67 goals per match, xG 1.14, and lost all last 5 away games, conceding 10 goals. The hosts create significantly more chances: 12.9 shots per home match and 4.5 on target with a 14% conversion rate, whereas KMC averages 7 shots with 2.67 on target and a 6% conversion, indicating higher finishing efficiency for Azam. Defensively the gap is also notable — Azam’s average xG against at home is 0.86, while KMC records xG against 1.38 away and concedes 2.08 goals per away match on average. Considering possession (58% vs 49%) and average points in the last 5 (2.4 for Azam vs 0 for KMC), a home victory is more likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict No BTTS (both teams not to score) with a 70% probability because Azam have only 20% home games with both teams scoring this season and 20% in the last 5 — well below the league BTTS level of 34%. KMC have an away BTTS of 42% (last 5: 40%), but their away goals average is only 0.67 this season and 1.0 in the last 5, so the visitors often fail to score. Azam scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 per game) while conceding 0.8 in that period, whereas KMC conceded 10 goals in their last 5 (2.0 per game) — this suggests only the home side is likely to find the net. xG metrics confirm the home advantage: Azam xG_for 1.46 versus KMC xG_against_away 1.38, and KMC generate 1.14 xG with a shot conversion of 6%, which limits their realistic scoring chances. Considering these numbers and KMC's poor form (lllll), I assess 'No' at 70% versus 30% for 'Yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project approximately 3.11 total goals in the match, with Azam around 1.64 goals and KMC around 1.47 goals. The basis is xG and form: Azam averages 1.46 xG per home match and 1.82 xG in the last 5 games, while KMC has attacking xG 1.14 for the season and 1.40 in the last 5; additionally KMC conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game). Seasonal data are mixed — Azam scored 33 and conceded 9 goals this season, season-long Over 2.5 for Azam is 20% versus 50% for KMC, but in the last 5 both teams have Over 2.5 at 40%. A Poisson model with lambda=3.11 estimates probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈82%, Over 2.5 ≈60% and Over 3.5 ≈38%. I back the Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal: Azam’s offensive edge in the last 5 (9 goals, xG 1.82) and KMC’s poor defense (36 conceded this season and 2.0 in the last 5) increase the likelihood of at least 2 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Azam is in much better form: in the last 5 matches they have 4 wins (80% win rate), while KMC have lost all 5 games (100% defeats). At half-time Azam led in 60% of their last 5 matches (3 of 5) and have an average goals at the break of 1.0 versus 0.2 for KMC, which gives a strong signal for the home side to lead at the break. For the full match the statistics also favor Azam: average goals in the last 5 matches are 1.8 for Azam versus 1.0 for KMC, and average goals conceded are 0.8 vs 2.0, suggesting an advantage in goal difference. Additionally, the home side’s xG is 1.46 compared to 1.14 for KMC, and average shots on target are 3.5 versus 2.67, increasing the likelihood that Azam will hold their lead and win. Therefore the safest HT/FT pick is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning), and I assign the highest probability to this scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Azam | KMC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Azam is 142% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Azam · 0.59 goals / game - KMC
Azam is 321% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.39 goals / game - Azam · 1.64 goals / game - KMC
Azam scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while KMC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).
KMC scores in 41% of games (9 of 22 meczów), while Azam keeps a clean sheet in 78% (18 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Azam
Over / Under - KMC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Azam is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / game - Azam · 0.91 pts / game - KMC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Azam - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
KMC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 9%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Azam
KMC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Azam | Liga | KMC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.83 | 2.11 | ▲ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 35% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 78% | 40% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- AzamGoalFaisal Salum
- AzamGoalFaisal SalumAssist: Iddy Seleman Nado
- AzamGoalYoro Mamadou Diaby
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Azam vs KMC?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Azam 3:0 KMC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Azam vs KMC?
Azam score 1.43 goals per game on average and KMC 0.59. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Azam's matches and 32% of KMC's.
What form are Azam and KMC in?
Over the last 5 games Azam have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and KMC 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Azam vs KMC?
The statistical background for Azam vs KMC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.