Bahardar vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Bahardar vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Adama Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 18%, Adama Kenema 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.12. Bahardar: 8.3 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The most likely outcome is a draw, because the home side have drawn 58% of their matches at home while the visitors have drawn 50% of their away games. Bahardar possess stronger defensive credentials at their stadium — they concede only 0.67 goals per home game on average and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, whereas Adama Kenema concede 0.92 goals on the road and record 42% clean sheets. Offensively Adama look better in shot conversion (19% conversion rate versus Bahardar’s 8%) and score 1.08 goals per away match on average, while Bahardar attempt more shots (8.83 vs 6.2) and have a higher home xG (1.34 vs 1.11) but actually score only 0.75 goals per game, indicating finishing issues. Recent form over the last five matches favors the hosts: Bahardar average 1 point per game in their last 5 and have conceded 4 goals in that span, whereas Adama average 0.4 points per game and have conceded 11 goals in their last 5. Considering the high draw rates (58% and 50%), Bahardar’s solid home defence and Adama’s poor away form, I assess a draw as the most probable result (~50%), home win at 30% and away win at 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adama Kenema is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adama Kenema is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Bahardar is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 1 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahardar
Over / Under — Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adama Kenema is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bahardar 0 - 0 - 1 Adama Kenema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Adama Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 2:1 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Adama Kenema?
Bahardar score 0.74 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bahardar's matches and 42% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Bahardar and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Adama Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.