Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahardar play Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Ethiopian Medhin 43%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 18%, Ethiopian Medhin 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.23. Bahardar: 8.3 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3.

Match halves

Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32.

Goals by minute

Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
13Shots8
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
4Shots on target2
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.72xG1.39
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
4Corners7
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
86Dangerous attacks102
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14Fouls14
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0Cards0
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.74Goals scored / match0.78
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.74Goals conceded / match0.84
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
51%Average possession52%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
2.84Shots on target / match2.84
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.26Shots per match7.35
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
2.84Shots on target2.84
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
8.9%Shot conversion10.7%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
51%Possession52%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.26xG for1.23
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.2xG against1.23
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Shooting quality

Bahardar: BalancedEthiopian Medhin: Balanced
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ethiopian Medhin is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin

Bahardar
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
24% W55% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-21-8
1.26 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-10-5
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Ethiopian Medhin
DWLLL
Season result split
24% W43% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-16-12
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-8-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ethiopian Medhin is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin

Bahardar is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin

Bahardar scoring profile: mixed

Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).

Ethiopian Medhin scoring profile: mixed

Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).

28Goals scored (season)29
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
28Goals conceded (season)31
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.47Average goals in match1.62
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
2Goals scored (last 5)2
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

How often they score at least...

47%1 goal54%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
24%2 goals19%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
3%3 goals5%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%4 goals0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

How often they concede at least...

47%1 goal70%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
21%2 goals11%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
5%3 goals3%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%4 goals0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
Ethiopian Medhin - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 37 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time19%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
8%Scored in both halves11%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
20%BTTS - last 520%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

39%Min. 1 goal before half-time51%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
16%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

2nd half

47%Min. 1 goal after half-time59%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time19%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ethiopian Medhin is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.24 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin

Bahardar - half-time state
11% leading68% draw21% trailing
Ethiopian Medhin - half-time state
19% leading68% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.24
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.21Goals scored (1st half)0.46
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.61Average goals (1st half)0.81
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
71%Clean sheet before half-time68%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
79%No goal before half-time62%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.05
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.32
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.49
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.87Average goals (2nd half)0.81
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
71%Clean sheet after half-time57%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
66%No goal after half-time73%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Bahardar - second-half results

26% W61% R13% P
38
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding218%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results

19% W49% R32% P
46
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahardar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Ethiopian Medhin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
6
16-30
5
6
31-45
8
3
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ethiopian Medhin
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
6
7
16-30
4
3
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
8
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
24%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Ethiopian Medhin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

BahardarLigaEthiopian Medhin
Average goals in match 1.471.78 1.62
Both teams scored 32%40% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 18%28% 24%
Clean sheets 53%40% 30%
Goal before half-time 39%56% 51%
Goal after half-time 47%59% 59%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bahardar 0 - 1 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 1:0 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

Bahardar score 0.74 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.78. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bahardar's matches and 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's.

What form are Bahardar and Ethiopian Medhin in?

Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

The statistical background for Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.