Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bahardar played against Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on November 30, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Bahardar has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Ethiopian Medhin has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Bahardar scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.86. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.83 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 1.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Bahardar's games and 33% of Ethiopian Medhin's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 33%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bahardar has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.17 per game. Bahardar takes 7.3 shots per game, while Ethiopian Medhin takes 6.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Bahardar leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopian Medhin leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.17 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bahardar's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Ethiopian Medhin, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.82 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

49Possession (%)51
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
13Shots8
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
4Shots on target2
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.72xG1.39
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
4Corners7
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
86Dangerous attacks102
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14Fouls14
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0Cards0
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1Goals scored / game0.83
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.86Goals allowed / game0.83
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
51%Average possession54%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
2.86Shots on target / game3
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.29Shots per game6.5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
2.86Shots on target3
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
13.7%Shot conversion12.8%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
51%Possession54%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.18xG for1.17
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.13xG against1.38
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Shooting quality

Bahardar: Efficient finishingEthiopian Medhin: Balanced
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
Accuracy (shots on target)39%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ethiopian Medhin is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Bahardar · 1.4 pts / game - Ethiopian Medhin

Bahardar
DDLWL
Season result split
29% W43% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Ethiopian Medhin
WDLWL
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
DWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahardar is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Bahardar · 0.83 goals / game - Ethiopian Medhin

Bahardar scoring profile: mixed

Bahardar scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).

Ethiopian Medhin scoring profile: more difficult

Ethiopian Medhin scores in 33% of games (2 of 6 meczów), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).

7Goals scored (season)5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
6Goals conceded (season)5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.86Average goals per game1.67
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
3Goals scored (last 5)5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal33%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
29%2 goals33%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%3 goals17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%4 goals0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal67%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%2 goals17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%3 goals0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%4 goals0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

41%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%Scored in both halves17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
20%BTTS - last 540%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

29%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahardar - half-time state
14% leading71% draw14% trailing
Ethiopian Medhin - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.17
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.67
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.71Average goals (1st half)1
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
86%Clean sheet before half-time67%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
71%No goal before half-time67%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per game (2nd half)1
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.17
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.14Average goals (2nd half)0.67
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
57%Clean sheet after half-time67%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
57%No goal after half-time83%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Bahardar - second-half results

29% W57% R14% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results

17% W50% R33% P
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bahardar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game0.80.6
1 goal20%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Ethiopian Medhin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ethiopian Medhin
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.76
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
19%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
29%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Ethiopian Medhin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

BahardarLigaEthiopian Medhin
Average goals per game 1.861.82 1.67
Both teams scored 43%41% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%30% 33%
Clean sheets 43%39% 33%
Goal before half-time 29%54% 50%
Goal after half-time 57%62% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.82
Average goals per game
41%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.87
Home goals / game
0.94
Away goals / game
+-7%
Home attack advantage
+-8%
Home defensive advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 1:0 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

Bahardar score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.83. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Bahardar's matches and 33% of Ethiopian Medhin's.

What form are Bahardar and Ethiopian Medhin in?

Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

The statistical background for Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.