Bahardar vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bahardar played against Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on December 24, 2025. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

Bahardar has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Fasil Ketema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Bahardar scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 0.90. Fasil Ketema scores 0.90 and allows 0.30. Games in this league average 1.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Bahardar's games and 30% of Fasil Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 0%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fasil Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.22 per game. Bahardar takes 8.0 shots per game, while Fasil Ketema takes 7.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Bahardar leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bahardar's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Fasil Ketema, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.80 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

52Possession (%)48
BahardarFasil Ketema
18Shots24
BahardarFasil Ketema
5Shots on target7
BahardarFasil Ketema
1.82xG2.44
BahardarFasil Ketema
2Corners4
BahardarFasil Ketema
47Dangerous attacks62
BahardarFasil Ketema
16Fouls14
BahardarFasil Ketema
0Cards0
BahardarFasil Ketema

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.9Goals scored / game0.9
BahardarFasil Ketema
0.9Goals allowed / game0.3
BahardarFasil Ketema
52%Average possession45%
BahardarFasil Ketema
2.7Shots on target / game3
BahardarFasil Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8Shots per game7.9
BahardarFasil Ketema
2.7Shots on target3
BahardarFasil Ketema
11.3%Shot conversion11.4%
BahardarFasil Ketema
52%Possession45%
BahardarFasil Ketema
1.22xG for1.24
BahardarFasil Ketema
1.15xG against1.17
BahardarFasil Ketema

Shooting quality

Bahardar: BalancedFasil Ketema: Balanced
BahardarFasil Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)34%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fasil Ketema is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Bahardar · 1.8 pts / game - Fasil Ketema

Bahardar
WLWLD
Season result split
30% W40% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Fasil Ketema
DWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 away
2-2-0
WDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fasil Ketema is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.9 goals / game - Bahardar · 0.3 goals / game - Fasil Ketema

Bahardar scoring profile: more difficult

Bahardar scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 70% (7 of 10 meczów).

Fasil Ketema scoring profile: strong

Fasil Ketema scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 meczów), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 meczów).

9Goals scored (season)9
BahardarFasil Ketema
9Goals conceded (season)3
BahardarFasil Ketema
1.8Average goals per game1.2
BahardarFasil Ketema
4Goals scored (last 5)4
BahardarFasil Ketema
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
BahardarFasil Ketema

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal80%
BahardarFasil Ketema
20%2 goals10%
BahardarFasil Ketema
10%3 goals0%
BahardarFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
BahardarFasil Ketema

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal30%
BahardarFasil Ketema
20%2 goals0%
BahardarFasil Ketema
20%3 goals0%
BahardarFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
BahardarFasil Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time10%
BahardarFasil Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BahardarFasil Ketema
10%Scored in both halves0%
BahardarFasil Ketema

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
BahardarFasil Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BahardarFasil Ketema
20%BTTS - last 540%
BahardarFasil Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

30%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
BahardarFasil Ketema
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
BahardarFasil Ketema
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BahardarFasil Ketema

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
BahardarFasil Ketema
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
BahardarFasil Ketema
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BahardarFasil Ketema

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fasil Ketema is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / game - Bahardar · 1.6 pts / game - Fasil Ketema

Bahardar - half-time state
10% leading80% draw10% trailing
Fasil Ketema - half-time state
30% leading70% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per game (1st half)1.6
BahardarFasil Ketema
0.3Goals scored (1st half)0.4
BahardarFasil Ketema
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.1
BahardarFasil Ketema
0.7Average goals (1st half)0.5
BahardarFasil Ketema
80%Clean sheet before half-time90%
BahardarFasil Ketema
70%No goal before half-time60%
BahardarFasil Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per game (2nd half)1.5
BahardarFasil Ketema
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
BahardarFasil Ketema
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
BahardarFasil Ketema
1.1Average goals (2nd half)0.7
BahardarFasil Ketema
60%Clean sheet after half-time80%
BahardarFasil Ketema
60%No goal after half-time60%
BahardarFasil Ketema

Bahardar - second-half results

30% W50% R20% P
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Fasil Ketema - second-half results

30% W60% R10% P
16
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bahardar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Fasil Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game0.21.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Fasil Ketema
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Fasil Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.87
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
32%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

BahardarLigaFasil Ketema
Average goals per game 1.801.80 1.20
Both teams scored 40%44% 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 30%28% 0%
Clean sheets 50%37% 70%
Goal before half-time 30%58% 40%
Goal after half-time 60%60% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
0.93
Home goals / game
0.87
Away goals / game
+7%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bahardar vs Fasil Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 0:0 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Fasil Ketema?

Bahardar score 0.90 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.90. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Bahardar's matches and 30% of Fasil Ketema's.

What form are Bahardar and Fasil Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Fasil Ketema?

The statistical background for Bahardar vs Fasil Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.