Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Bahardar presents solid home form with 43% victories and an impressive 71% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent to break down. Overall, the team remains unbeaten in their last five matches (1W-4D), evidencing defensive stability. Mekelle Kenema occupies the penultimate spot in the table and has a weaker away record (29% wins, 43% losses), although they have recently improved their form, gaining 1.6 points per match. xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts (1.41 vs 1.14), and Bahardar averages more goals in home matches. Given the hosts' advantage, their solid defense, and the visitors' weaker away disposition, I expect a Bahardar win, though the tendency of both teams to draw makes that result a possibility as well.
Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bahardar played against Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 15, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Bahardar has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Mekelle Kenema has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Bahardar scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 0.71. Mekelle Kenema scores 1.00 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 1.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Bahardar's games and 57% of Mekelle Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 43%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelle Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.22 per game. Bahardar takes 8.7 shots per game, while Mekelle Kenema takes 7.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Bahardar leads at halftime in 7% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Mekelle Kenema leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bahardar's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Mekelle Kenema, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.71 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahardar presents solid home form with 43% victories and an impressive 71% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent to break down. Overall, the team remains unbeaten in their last five matches (1W-4D), evidencing defensive stability. Mekelle Kenema occupies the penultimate spot in the table and has a weaker away record (29% wins, 43% losses), although they have recently improved their form, gaining 1.6 points per match. xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts (1.41 vs 1.14), and Bahardar averages more goals in home matches. Given the hosts' advantage, their solid defense, and the visitors' weaker away disposition, I expect a Bahardar win, though the tendency of both teams to draw makes that result a possibility as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelle Kenema is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Bahardar · 1.6 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
0.79 goals / game - Bahardar · 1 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema
Bahardar is 70% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - Bahardar · 1.21 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema
Bahardar scores in 50% of games (7 of 14 meczów), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahardar
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / game - Bahardar · 1.43 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bahardar
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 1.71 | ▲ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 42% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 21% | 56% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 0:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema?
Bahardar score 0.79 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Bahardar's matches and 57% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Bahardar and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema?
The statistical background for Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.