Brazil - Serie AData current as of 17 July 2026

Bahia vs Atlético PR: match statistics

Bahia crest
Bahia
3 : 0half-time 2:0
Atlético PR crest
Atlético PR

Bahia vs Atlético PR: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahia play Atlético PR in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 2 April 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 3:0.

Current form

Bahia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Atlético PR: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Atlético PR scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahia 71%, Atlético PR 50%. Over 2.5: Bahia 59%, Atlético PR 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.39. Bahia: 13.9 shots per match, Atlético PR: 12.3.

Match halves

Bahia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Atlético PR: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Atlético PR: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

I predict a draw (X). Both teams show similar form — over the last 5 matches both average 2 points and have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Bahia’s key advantage is control and chance creation: at home they average 54% possession, 15.67 shots, 7 shots on target and xG 1.76, plus only 0.67 goals conceded per game and 0% home defeats. Atlético compensates with efficiency — 14 goals scored this season and a conversion rate of 14% versus Bahia’s 9%, including 11 goals in the last 5 matches — but away they manage just 37% possession, 9.33 shots (3.33 on target) and higher average xG against at 1.91 with 1.33 goals conceded on the road. Given Bahia’s advantage in possession and xG alongside Atlético’s effectiveness, a draw is most likely — suggested probabilities: draw 45%, home win 35%, away win 20%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
BahiaAtlético PR
7Shots12
BahiaAtlético PR
5Shots on target4
BahiaAtlético PR
1xG1.39
BahiaAtlético PR
3Corners1
BahiaAtlético PR
27Dangerous attacks48
BahiaAtlético PR
15Fouls19
BahiaAtlético PR
2Cards2
BahiaAtlético PR

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1.33
BahiaAtlético PR
1.35Goals conceded / match1
BahiaAtlético PR
54%Average possession48%
BahiaAtlético PR
5.29Shots on target / match4.83
BahiaAtlético PR

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.94Shots per match12.28
BahiaAtlético PR
5.29Shots on target4.83
BahiaAtlético PR
10.5%Shot conversion10.9%
BahiaAtlético PR
54%Possession48%
BahiaAtlético PR
1.58xG for1.39
BahiaAtlético PR
1.54xG against1.15
BahiaAtlético PR

Shooting quality

Bahia: BalancedAtlético PR: Balanced
BahiaAtlético PR
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético PR is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Bahia · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético PR

Bahia
DLDLW
Season result split
41% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-5
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Atlético PR
DLDWW
Season result split
50% W17% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahia is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Bahia · 1.33 goals / match - Atlético PR

Atlético PR is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Bahia · 1 goals / match - Atlético PR

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Atlético PR scoring profile: very strong

Atlético PR scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)24
BahiaAtlético PR
23Goals conceded (season)18
BahiaAtlético PR
2.82Average goals in match2.33
BahiaAtlético PR
8Goals scored (last 5)4
BahiaAtlético PR
9Goals conceded (last 5)3
BahiaAtlético PR

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal72%
BahiaAtlético PR
47%2 goals44%
BahiaAtlético PR
6%3 goals11%
BahiaAtlético PR
0%4 goals6%
BahiaAtlético PR

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal72%
BahiaAtlético PR
41%2 goals17%
BahiaAtlético PR
12%3 goals11%
BahiaAtlético PR
6%4 goals0%
BahiaAtlético PR

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time28%
BahiaAtlético PR
0%BTTS in both halves6%
BahiaAtlético PR
12%Scored in both halves33%
BahiaAtlético PR

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
BahiaAtlético PR
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
BahiaAtlético PR
100%BTTS - last 540%
BahiaAtlético PR

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
BahiaAtlético PR
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
BahiaAtlético PR
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
BahiaAtlético PR

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
BahiaAtlético PR
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
BahiaAtlético PR
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BahiaAtlético PR

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Bahia · 1.17 pts / match - Atlético PR

Bahia - half-time state
35% leading24% draw41% trailing
Atlético PR - half-time state
28% leading33% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.17
BahiaAtlético PR
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.61
BahiaAtlético PR
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.72
BahiaAtlético PR
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.33
BahiaAtlético PR
35%Clean sheet before half-time39%
BahiaAtlético PR
47%No goal before half-time50%
BahiaAtlético PR

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.72
BahiaAtlético PR
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
BahiaAtlético PR
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.28
BahiaAtlético PR
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1
BahiaAtlético PR
59%Clean sheet after half-time72%
BahiaAtlético PR
47%No goal after half-time44%
BahiaAtlético PR

Bahia - second-half results

35% W41% R24% P
22
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético PR - second-half results

44% W39% R17% P
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Atlético PR - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Atlético PR
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Atlético PR

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaAtlético PR
Average goals in match 2.822.66 2.33
Both teams scored 71%58% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%50% 44%
Clean sheets 24%23% 28%
Goal before half-time 94%77% 83%
Goal after half-time 71%78% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bahia vs Atlético PR?

The Serie A match finished Bahia 3:0 Atlético PR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Atlético PR?

Bahia score 1.47 goals per game on average and Atlético PR 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Bahia's matches and 50% of Atlético PR's.

What form are Bahia and Atlético PR in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Atlético PR 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Atlético PR?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bahia vs Atlético PR: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.