Bahia vs Botafogo: match statistics
Bahia vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahia play Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 22:30. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Bahia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahia 71%, Botafogo 83%. Over 2.5: Bahia 59%, Botafogo 83%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bahia has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.43. Bahia: 13.9 shots per match, Botafogo: 12.6.
Match halves
Bahia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Botafogo: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
The slight favorites are the visitors – Botafogo: in the last 5 matches they average 2.0 points per game with 3 wins and a goal difference of 10–5, whereas Bahia in their last 5 matches have averaged only 0.4 points and have no wins (7–10 goals). Bahia’s home metrics favor them: home xG 1.64, 14.5 shots and 5.75 shots on target on average, and 55% possession, versus Botafogo’s away xG 1.30, 11.44 shots and 49% possession. Botafogo are more efficient however – away shot conversion rate 15% versus Bahia’s 10%, and they score 1.67 goals away on average versus Bahia’s 1.50 at home. Defensively on the season Bahia concede less at home (1.13 goals conceded per game) than Botafogo away (1.89), but the last 5 matches show the opposite trend (Botafogo conceded 5 goals in 5, Bahia 10), so I assign a 45% chance to a Botafogo win, 30% to a Bahia win and 25% to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botafogo is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Bahia · 1.6 pts / match - Botafogo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Bahia · 1.83 goals / match - Botafogo
Bahia is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Bahia · 1.78 goals / match - Botafogo
Bahia scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
Botafogo scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahia
Over / Under — Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Bahia · 1.44 pts / match - Botafogo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahia
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 58% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 50% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 94% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bahia 1 - 0 - 1 Botafogo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahia vs Botafogo?
The Serie A match finished Bahia 2:1 Botafogo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Botafogo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1, Botafogo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Botafogo?
Bahia score 1.47 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.83. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Bahia's matches and 83% of Botafogo's.
What form are Bahia and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Botafogo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Botafogo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.