Bahia vs Bragantino: match statistics
Bahia is displaying significantly better form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches overall (PPG: 2.6) and a 10:5 goal difference, whereas Bragantino has managed only 1 point per game on average in their last 5 outings. The hosts remain unbeaten this season (3-2-0) and have not lost any home match, although both home fixtures ended in draws. Bragantino has poor away efficiency (0.67 goals per game, 33% FTS) despite a high xG (2.06), pointing to finishing issues. The xG stats favor the visitors (2.06 vs 1.68), but actual results and current form lean towards the hosts. Taking into account Bahia's home draws and the unpredictability of both sides, I predict a home win with moderate probability, with a substantial chance of a draw.
Bahia vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bahia played against Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on March 18, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Bahia has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Bragantino has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Bahia scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 0.60. Bragantino scores 0.83 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Bahia's games and 50% of Bragantino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 17%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bragantino has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.24 per game. Bahia takes 11.6 shots per game, while Bragantino takes 16.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Bahia leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 0.20 goals per game after halftime. Bragantino leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Bragantino, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia is displaying significantly better form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches overall (PPG: 2.6) and a 10:5 goal difference, whereas Bragantino has managed only 1 point per game on average in their last 5 outings. The hosts remain unbeaten this season (3-2-0) and have not lost any home match, although both home fixtures ended in draws. Bragantino has poor away efficiency (0.67 goals per game, 33% FTS) despite a high xG (2.06), pointing to finishing issues. The xG stats favor the visitors (2.06 vs 1.68), but actual results and current form lean towards the hosts. Taking into account Bahia's home draws and the unpredictability of both sides, I predict a home win with moderate probability, with a substantial chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bahia is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Bahia · 1 pts / game - Bragantino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Bahia · 0.83 goals / game - Bragantino
Bahia is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - Bahia · 1 goals / game - Bragantino
Bahia scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
Bragantino scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahia
Over / Under - Bragantino
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Bahia · 1.83 pts / game - Bragantino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bahia
Bragantino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.80 | 2.77 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 46% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 19% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 20% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Bahia's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bragantino. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahia vs Bragantino?
The Serie A match finished Bahia 2:0 Bragantino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Bragantino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2, Bragantino won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Bragantino?
Bahia score 1.20 goals per game on average and Bragantino 0.83. The Serie A average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bahia's matches and 50% of Bragantino's.
What form are Bahia and Bragantino in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bragantino 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Bragantino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.