Brazil - Serie AArena Fonte NovaData current as of 16 July 2026

Bahia vs Chapecoense: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bahia vs Chapecoense: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahia play Chapecoense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 25 February 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova.

Current form

Bahia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chapecoense: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Chapecoense scores 1.00 and concedes 1.94. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahia 71%, Chapecoense 65%. Over 2.5: Bahia 59%, Chapecoense 47%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.30. Bahia: 13.9 shots per match, Chapecoense: 12.8.

Match halves

Bahia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Chapecoense: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Chapecoense: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.60)
(4.00)
(6.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1
BahiaChapecoense
1.35Goals conceded / match1.94
BahiaChapecoense
54%Average possession43%
BahiaChapecoense
5.29Shots on target / match3.41
BahiaChapecoense

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.94Shots per match12.82
BahiaChapecoense
5.29Shots on target3.41
BahiaChapecoense
10.5%Shot conversion7.8%
BahiaChapecoense
54%Possession43%
BahiaChapecoense
1.58xG for1.3
BahiaChapecoense
1.54xG against1.88
BahiaChapecoense

Shooting quality

Bahia: BalancedChapecoense: Balanced
BahiaChapecoense
Accuracy (shots on target)38%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bahia is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Bahia · 0.2 pts / match - Chapecoense

Bahia
DLDLW
Season result split
41% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-5
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Chapecoense
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
6% W35% R59% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-6-10
0.53 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-6
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahia is 47% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Bahia · 1 goals / match - Chapecoense

Bahia is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Bahia · 1.94 goals / match - Chapecoense

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).

Chapecoense scoring profile: strong

Chapecoense scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)17
BahiaChapecoense
23Goals conceded (season)33
BahiaChapecoense
2.82Average goals in match2.94
BahiaChapecoense
8Goals scored (last 5)5
BahiaChapecoense
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
BahiaChapecoense

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal65%
BahiaChapecoense
47%2 goals18%
BahiaChapecoense
6%3 goals12%
BahiaChapecoense
0%4 goals6%
BahiaChapecoense

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal94%
BahiaChapecoense
41%2 goals65%
BahiaChapecoense
12%3 goals24%
BahiaChapecoense
6%4 goals12%
BahiaChapecoense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time35%
BahiaChapecoense
0%BTTS in both halves18%
BahiaChapecoense
12%Scored in both halves18%
BahiaChapecoense

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
BahiaChapecoense
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
BahiaChapecoense
100%BTTS - last 580%
BahiaChapecoense

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
BahiaChapecoense
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
BahiaChapecoense
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
BahiaChapecoense

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
BahiaChapecoense
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
BahiaChapecoense
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
BahiaChapecoense

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Bahia · 0.76 pts / match - Chapecoense

Bahia - half-time state
35% leading24% draw41% trailing
Chapecoense - half-time state
0% leading76% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)0.76
BahiaChapecoense
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.35
BahiaChapecoense
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
BahiaChapecoense
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.12
BahiaChapecoense
35%Clean sheet before half-time47%
BahiaChapecoense
47%No goal before half-time65%
BahiaChapecoense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)0.59
BahiaChapecoense
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
BahiaChapecoense
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)1.18
BahiaChapecoense
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.82
BahiaChapecoense
59%Clean sheet after half-time12%
BahiaChapecoense
47%No goal after half-time53%
BahiaChapecoense

Bahia - second-half results

35% W41% R24% P
22
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Chapecoense - second-half results

6% W41% R53% P
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Chapecoense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Chapecoense
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
4
6
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
9
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Chapecoense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
47% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
47%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaChapecoense
Average goals in match 2.822.66 2.94
Both teams scored 71%58% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%50% 47%
Clean sheets 24%23% 6%
Goal before half-time 94%77% 53%
Goal after half-time 71%78% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Bahia and Chapecoense play?

Bahia face Chapecoense on 25 February 2026 in Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Chapecoense?

Bahia score 1.47 goals per game on average and Chapecoense 1.00. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Bahia's matches and 65% of Chapecoense's.

What form are Bahia and Chapecoense in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chapecoense 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Chapecoense?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.