Brazil - Serie AArena Fonte NovaData current as of 23 July 2026

Bahia vs Corinthians: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bahia vs Corinthians: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahia play Corinthians in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova.

Current form

Bahia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Corinthians: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Corinthians scores 1.00 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahia 68%, Corinthians 50%. Over 2.5: Bahia 53%, Corinthians 33%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.24. Bahia: 14.5 shots per match, Corinthians: 11.8.

Match halves

Bahia: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.74. Corinthians: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Corinthians: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.15)
(3.40)
(3.54)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1
BahiaCorinthians
1.26Goals conceded / match1.06
BahiaCorinthians
54%Average possession54%
BahiaCorinthians
5.26Shots on target / match3.44
BahiaCorinthians

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.47Shots per match11.83
BahiaCorinthians
5.26Shots on target3.44
BahiaCorinthians
10.2%Shot conversion8.5%
BahiaCorinthians
54%Possession54%
BahiaCorinthians
1.62xG for1.24
BahiaCorinthians
1.52xG against1.25
BahiaCorinthians

Shooting quality

Bahia: AttackingCorinthians: Balanced
BahiaCorinthians
Accuracy (shots on target)36%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Corinthians is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Bahia · 1.8 pts / match - Corinthians

Bahia
DLWWD
Season result split
42% W32% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-5
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Corinthians
LWLWW
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-6
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahia is 47% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Bahia · 1 goals / match - Corinthians

Corinthians is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.26 goals / match - Bahia · 1.06 goals / match - Corinthians

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Corinthians keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).

Corinthians scoring profile: very strong

Corinthians scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

28Goals scored (season)18
BahiaCorinthians
24Goals conceded (season)19
BahiaCorinthians
2.74Average goals in match2.06
BahiaCorinthians
8Goals scored (last 5)9
BahiaCorinthians
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
BahiaCorinthians

How often they score at least...

95%1 goal72%
BahiaCorinthians
47%2 goals17%
BahiaCorinthians
5%3 goals11%
BahiaCorinthians
0%4 goals0%
BahiaCorinthians

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal61%
BahiaCorinthians
37%2 goals33%
BahiaCorinthians
11%3 goals11%
BahiaCorinthians
5%4 goals0%
BahiaCorinthians

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time33%
BahiaCorinthians
0%BTTS in both halves6%
BahiaCorinthians
11%Scored in both halves11%
BahiaCorinthians

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BahiaCorinthians
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BahiaCorinthians
80%BTTS - last 580%
BahiaCorinthians

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

95%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
BahiaCorinthians
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
BahiaCorinthians
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
BahiaCorinthians

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
BahiaCorinthians
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
BahiaCorinthians
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
BahiaCorinthians

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.32 pts / match - Bahia · 0.89 pts / match - Corinthians

Bahia - half-time state
37% leading21% draw42% trailing
Corinthians - half-time state
11% leading56% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per match (1st half)0.89
BahiaCorinthians
0.74Goals scored (1st half)0.44
BahiaCorinthians
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
BahiaCorinthians
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.22
BahiaCorinthians
37%Clean sheet before half-time44%
BahiaCorinthians
47%No goal before half-time56%
BahiaCorinthians

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.5
BahiaCorinthians
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
BahiaCorinthians
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.28
BahiaCorinthians
1.32Average goals (2nd half)0.83
BahiaCorinthians
63%Clean sheet after half-time72%
BahiaCorinthians
47%No goal after half-time61%
BahiaCorinthians

Bahia - second-half results

37% W42% R21% P
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Corinthians - second-half results

33% W50% R17% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Corinthians - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match1.20.4
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
7
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Corinthians
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
7
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Corinthians

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaCorinthians
Average goals in match 2.742.65 2.06
Both teams scored 68%59% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%50% 33%
Clean sheets 26%23% 39%
Goal before half-time 95%77% 67%
Goal after half-time 68%78% 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Bahia 2 - 1 - 0 Corinthians. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Corinthians
1 : 2
Bahia
SC Corinthians Paulista
1 : 2
EC Bahia
EC Bahia
1 : 1
SC Corinthians Paulista

FAQ

When do Bahia and Corinthians play?

Bahia face Corinthians on 26 July 2026 in Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Corinthians?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2, Corinthians won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Corinthians?

Bahia score 1.47 goals per game on average and Corinthians 1.00. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Bahia's matches and 50% of Corinthians's.

What form are Bahia and Corinthians in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Corinthians 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Corinthians?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.