Brazil - Serie AArena Fonte NovaData current as of October 17, 2026

Bahia vs Flamengo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bahia vs Flamengo: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bahia plays Flamengo in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent form

Bahia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Flamengo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Bahia scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.20. Flamengo scores 1.93 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Bahia's games and 50% of Flamengo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 60%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Flamengo has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.58 per game. Bahia takes 14.4 shots per game, while Flamengo takes 15.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Bahia leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Flamengo leads at halftime in 57% and scores 1.10 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). For Flamengo, it is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.82)
(3.65)
(2.42)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.47Goals scored / game1.93
BahiaFlamengo
1.2Goals allowed / game0.83
BahiaFlamengo
54%Average possession57%
BahiaFlamengo
4.77Shots on target / game5.33
BahiaFlamengo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.4Shots per game15.6
BahiaFlamengo
4.77Shots on target5.33
BahiaFlamengo
10.2%Shot conversion12.4%
BahiaFlamengo
54%Possession57%
BahiaFlamengo
1.58xG for1.74
BahiaFlamengo
1.58xG against1.3
BahiaFlamengo

Shooting quality

Bahia: AttackingFlamengo: Dominant
BahiaFlamengo
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Flamengo is 44% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Bahia · 2.6 pts / game - Flamengo

Bahia
WWLLW
Season result split
43% W33% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-7
1.63 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-2
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Flamengo
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
63% W23% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
19-7-4
2.13 pts / game · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-4-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.12Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Flamengo is 31% better for: goals scored per game.

1.47 goals / game - Bahia · 1.93 goals / game - Flamengo

Flamengo is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.2 goals / game - Bahia · 0.83 goals / game - Flamengo

Bahia scoring profile: strong

Bahia scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 games), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 games).

Flamengo scoring profile: very strong

Flamengo scores in 93% of games (28 of 30 games), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 games).

44Goals scored (season)58
BahiaFlamengo
36Goals conceded (season)25
BahiaFlamengo
2.67Average goals per game2.77
BahiaFlamengo
7Goals scored (last 5)8
BahiaFlamengo
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
BahiaFlamengo

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal93%
BahiaFlamengo
47%2 goals60%
BahiaFlamengo
13%3 goals27%
BahiaFlamengo
0%4 goals10%
BahiaFlamengo

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal57%
BahiaFlamengo
37%2 goals20%
BahiaFlamengo
10%3 goals7%
BahiaFlamengo
3%4 goals0%
BahiaFlamengo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time3%
BahiaFlamengo
3%BTTS in both halves0%
BahiaFlamengo
17%Scored in both halves43%
BahiaFlamengo

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BahiaFlamengo
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
BahiaFlamengo
60%BTTS - last 560%
BahiaFlamengo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
BahiaFlamengo
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
BahiaFlamengo
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
BahiaFlamengo

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
BahiaFlamengo
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
BahiaFlamengo
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
BahiaFlamengo

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Flamengo is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / game - Bahia · 1.97 pts / game - Flamengo

Bahia - half-time state
37% leading33% draw30% trailing
Flamengo - half-time state
57% leading27% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per game (1st half)1.97
BahiaFlamengo
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.83
BahiaFlamengo
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.23
BahiaFlamengo
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.07
BahiaFlamengo
40%Clean sheet before half-time80%
BahiaFlamengo
43%No goal before half-time40%
BahiaFlamengo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per game (2nd half)1.97
BahiaFlamengo
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)1.1
BahiaFlamengo
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
BahiaFlamengo
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.7
BahiaFlamengo
63%Clean sheet after half-time57%
BahiaFlamengo
53%No goal after half-time23%
BahiaFlamengo

Bahia - second-half results

30% W47% D23% L
43
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Flamengo - second-half results

60% W17% D23% L
59
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bahia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.80.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Flamengo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game0.61.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
8
7
16-30
14
7
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
6
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Flamengo
ScoredConceded
12
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
8
3
31-45
12
5
46-60
10
3
61-75
11
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Flamengo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaFlamengo
Average goals per game• 2.672.67▲ 2.77
Both teams scored▲ 63%60%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%52%▲ 60%
Clean sheets▲ 30%23%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▲ 87%75%▲ 77%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%79%▲ 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Bahia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Flamengo. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Flamengo
2 : 0
Bahia
EC Bahia
1 : 0
CR Flamengo
CR Flamengo
1 : 0
EC Bahia

FAQ

When do Bahia and Flamengo play?

Bahia face Flamengo on October 18, 2026 in Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Flamengo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1, Flamengo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Flamengo?

Bahia score 1.47 goals per game on average and Flamengo 1.93. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Bahia's matches and 50% of Flamengo's.

What form are Bahia and Flamengo in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Flamengo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Flamengo?

The statistical background for Bahia vs Flamengo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.