Brazil - Serie AData current as of 16 July 2026

Bahia vs Santos: match statistics

Bahia crest
Bahia
2 : 2half-time 0:2
Santos crest
Santos

Bahia vs Santos: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahia play Santos in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 23:30. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Bahia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Santos: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Santos scores 1.44 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahia 71%, Santos 72%. Over 2.5: Bahia 59%, Santos 61%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.27. Bahia: 13.9 shots per match, Santos: 11.8.

Match halves

Bahia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Santos: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Santos: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Match description

Bahia has a clear home advantage: at home 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (40% wins), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match and 0% matches without scoring. Santos away form is weaker — 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded and 20% of matches without a goal. In terms of chance quality the home side posts better metrics: Bahia xG at home is 1.67 versus Santos xG away of 1.43, shots on target 6.4 vs 3.0 per match and conversion rate 11% vs 8%. In the last 5 matches Bahia scored 7 and conceded 8 (1.4 and 1.6 per match), while Santos have 4 scored and 5 conceded (0.8 and 1.0 per match), which indicates superior attacking efficiency for the hosts. Considering possession advantage (55% vs 47%), higher number of shots on target and Santos’s significantly poorer away numbers (2.2 conceded per match), I predict a home win.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
BahiaSantos
18Shots11
BahiaSantos
5Shots on target5
BahiaSantos
1.82xG1.25
BahiaSantos
5Corners3
BahiaSantos
47Dangerous attacks30
BahiaSantos
16Fouls17
BahiaSantos
3Cards4
BahiaSantos

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.47Goals scored / match1.44
BahiaSantos
1.35Goals conceded / match1.61
BahiaSantos
54%Average possession48%
BahiaSantos
5.29Shots on target / match3.22
BahiaSantos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.94Shots per match11.78
BahiaSantos
5.29Shots on target3.22
BahiaSantos
10.5%Shot conversion12.3%
BahiaSantos
54%Possession48%
BahiaSantos
1.58xG for1.27
BahiaSantos
1.54xG against1.47
BahiaSantos

Shooting quality

Bahia: BalancedSantos: Balanced
BahiaSantos
Accuracy (shots on target)38%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Santos is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Bahia · 1.4 pts / match - Santos

Bahia
DLDLW
Season result split
41% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-5
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Santos
DWLLW
Season result split
28% W33% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-7
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-4
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahia is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Bahia · 1.61 goals / match - Santos

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).

Santos scoring profile: very strong

Santos scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)26
BahiaSantos
23Goals conceded (season)29
BahiaSantos
2.82Average goals in match3.06
BahiaSantos
8Goals scored (last 5)8
BahiaSantos
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
BahiaSantos

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal89%
BahiaSantos
47%2 goals50%
BahiaSantos
6%3 goals6%
BahiaSantos
0%4 goals0%
BahiaSantos

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal78%
BahiaSantos
41%2 goals50%
BahiaSantos
12%3 goals28%
BahiaSantos
6%4 goals6%
BahiaSantos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time33%
BahiaSantos
0%BTTS in both halves17%
BahiaSantos
12%Scored in both halves39%
BahiaSantos

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
BahiaSantos
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
BahiaSantos
100%BTTS - last 560%
BahiaSantos

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
BahiaSantos
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
BahiaSantos
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
BahiaSantos

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
BahiaSantos
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
BahiaSantos
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time39%
BahiaSantos

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Santos is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Bahia · 1.56 pts / match - Santos

Bahia - half-time state
35% leading24% draw41% trailing
Santos - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.56
BahiaSantos
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.72
BahiaSantos
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
BahiaSantos
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.28
BahiaSantos
35%Clean sheet before half-time56%
BahiaSantos
47%No goal before half-time33%
BahiaSantos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.17
BahiaSantos
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
BahiaSantos
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)1.06
BahiaSantos
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.78
BahiaSantos
59%Clean sheet after half-time39%
BahiaSantos
47%No goal after half-time39%
BahiaSantos

Bahia - second-half results

35% W41% R24% P
22
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Santos - second-half results

33% W17% R50% P
28
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Santos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Santos
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
6
5
16-30
6
3
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
8
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
84%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Santos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaSantos
Average goals in match 2.822.66 3.06
Both teams scored 71%58% 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%50% 61%
Clean sheets 24%23% 22%
Goal before half-time 94%77% 78%
Goal after half-time 71%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Bahia 1 - 1 - 0 Santos. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

EC Bahia
2 : 0
Santos FC Sao Paulo
Santos FC Sao Paulo
2 : 2
EC Bahia

FAQ

What was the result of Bahia vs Santos?

The Serie A match finished Bahia 2:2 Santos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Santos?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1, Santos won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Santos?

Bahia score 1.47 goals per game on average and Santos 1.44. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Bahia's matches and 72% of Santos's.

What form are Bahia and Santos in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Santos 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Santos?

The statistical background for Bahia vs Santos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.