Bahia has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Vasco da Gama has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Bahia scores 1.35 goals per game and allows 1.26. Vasco da Gama scores 1.47 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 53% of Bahia's games and 50% of Vasco da Gama's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 56%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bahia has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.45 per game. Bahia takes 13.3 shots per game, while Vasco da Gama takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Bahia leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Vasco da Gama leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.85 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Vasco da Gama, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 0

First half

1 : 0

Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45

BahiaVasco da Gama

19Shots7

BahiaVasco da Gama

4Shots on target1

BahiaVasco da Gama

1.92xG0.74

BahiaVasco da Gama

11Corners1

BahiaVasco da Gama

61Dangerous attacks30

BahiaVasco da Gama

10Fouls11

BahiaVasco da Gama

2Cards5

BahiaVasco da Gama

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.56Points per game1.24

BahiaVasco da Gama

1.35Goals scored / game1.47

BahiaVasco da Gama

1.26Goals allowed / game1.5

BahiaVasco da Gama

1.48xG for1.45

BahiaVasco da Gama

55%Average possession56%

BahiaVasco da Gama

4.47Shots on target / game4.74

BahiaVasco da Gama

32%Clean sheets21%

BahiaVasco da Gama

53%Both teams scored50%

BahiaVasco da Gama

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.35Shots per game13

BahiaVasco da Gama

4.47Shots on target4.74

BahiaVasco da Gama

10.1%Shot conversion11.3%

BahiaVasco da Gama

55%Possession56%

BahiaVasco da Gama

1.48xG for1.45

BahiaVasco da Gama

1.4xG against1.47

BahiaVasco da Gama

Shooting quality

Bahia: BalancedVasco da Gama: Balanced

	Bahia	Vasco da Gama
Accuracy (shots on target)	33%	36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.11	0.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.30	0.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bahia is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Bahia · 0.6 pts / game - Vasco da Gama

Bahia

LWLDL

Season result split

44% W24% D32% L

Season (W-D-L)

15-8-11

1.56 pts / game · goal difference +3

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-1-3

0.80 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

12-3-2

Last 5 at home

4-0-1

WWWWL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Vasco da Gama

WLLLL

Season result split

35% W18% D47% L

Season (W-D-L)

12-6-16

1.24 pts / game · goal difference -1

Last 5 (W-D-L)

1-0-4

0.60 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

5-2-10

Last 5 away

2-0-3

LWWLL

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vasco da Gama is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.35 goals / game - Bahia · 1.47 goals / game - Vasco da Gama

Bahia is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.26 goals / game - Bahia · 1.5 goals / game - Vasco da Gama

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 82% of games (28 of 34 meczów), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 meczów).

Vasco da Gama scoring profile: strong

Vasco da Gama scores in 68% of games (23 of 34 meczów), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 meczów).

46Goals scored (season)50

BahiaVasco da Gama

43Goals conceded (season)51

BahiaVasco da Gama

2.62Average goals per game2.97

BahiaVasco da Gama

6Goals scored (last 5)4

BahiaVasco da Gama

11Goals conceded (last 5)10

BahiaVasco da Gama

Bahia

32%

Clean sheets11 of 34 meczów

18%

No goal6 of 34 meczów

Vasco da Gama

21%

Clean sheets7 of 34 meczów

32%

No goal11 of 34 meczów

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal68%

BahiaVasco da Gama

38%2 goals44%

BahiaVasco da Gama

12%3 goals24%

BahiaVasco da Gama

3%4 goals6%

BahiaVasco da Gama

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal79%

BahiaVasco da Gama

35%2 goals50%

BahiaVasco da Gama

18%3 goals21%

BahiaVasco da Gama

3%4 goals0%

BahiaVasco da Gama

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%

Bahia - BTTS18 of 34 meczów

50%

Vasco da Gama - BTTS17 of 34 meczów

48%

League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time24%

BahiaVasco da Gama

3%BTTS in both halves9%

BahiaVasco da Gama

21%Scored in both halves35%

BahiaVasco da Gama

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%

BahiaVasco da Gama

15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%

BahiaVasco da Gama

60%BTTS - last 520%

BahiaVasco da Gama

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

97%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)97%

BahiaVasco da Gama

74%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)91%

BahiaVasco da Gama

56%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)56%

BahiaVasco da Gama

21%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)29%

BahiaVasco da Gama

9%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)15%

BahiaVasco da Gama

Over / Under - Bahia

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 97%Under 3%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 74%Under 26%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 56%Under 44%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 21%Under 79%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 9%Under 91%

Over / Under - Vasco da Gama

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 97%Under 3%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 91%Under 9%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 56%Under 44%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 29%Under 71%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 15%Under 85%

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%

BahiaVasco da Gama

29%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%

BahiaVasco da Gama

9%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%

BahiaVasco da Gama

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%

BahiaVasco da Gama

47%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%

BahiaVasco da Gama

26%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%

BahiaVasco da Gama

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / game - Bahia · 1.32 pts / game - Vasco da Gama

Bahia - half-time state

35% leading35% draw29% trailing

Vasco da Gama - half-time state

32% leading35% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per game (1st half)1.32

BahiaVasco da Gama

0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.62

BahiaVasco da Gama

0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.71

BahiaVasco da Gama

1.12Average goals (1st half)1.32

BahiaVasco da Gama

56%Clean sheet before half-time50%

BahiaVasco da Gama

56%No goal before half-time47%

BahiaVasco da Gama

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per game (2nd half)1.18

BahiaVasco da Gama

0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.85

BahiaVasco da Gama

0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79

BahiaVasco da Gama

1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.65

BahiaVasco da Gama

53%Clean sheet after half-time41%

BahiaVasco da Gama

41%No goal after half-time50%

BahiaVasco da Gama

Bahia - second-half results

41% W29% D29% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.41

PPG before half-time

Lead holding126%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

26% W38% D35% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-3

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.32

PPG before half-time

Lead holding109%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bahia - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	0.20	2.00
Goals scored / game	0.0	1.2
Goals allowed / game	1.2	1.0
Average goals per game	1.2	2.2
1 goal	80%	80%
2 goals	40%	80%
3 goals	0%	60%
Clean sheet	20%	40%
No goal	100%	40%
Goal difference	-6	+1

Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing

2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

Vasco da Gama - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	0.80	0.60
Goals scored / game	0.4	0.4
Goals allowed / game	0.8	1.2
Average goals per game	1.2	1.6
1 goal	80%	100%
2 goals	20%	60%
3 goals	20%	0%
Clean sheet	40%	20%
No goal	60%	80%
Goal difference	-2	-4

Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing

2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bahia

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Vasco da Gama

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.79

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.4 : 1.4

Estimated goal split

home : away

113%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

52%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

+43%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

56%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 17 matches

2-3

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

Bahia

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.08

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.01

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-1.4 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.13

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.14

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

91%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

127%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.76

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.2

Late goals

28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.

28%

Vasco da Gama

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.02

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.01

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-8.0 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.02

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

-0.03

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

148%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

101%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

-0.64

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.2

Late goals

20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.

20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

	Bahia	Liga	Vasco da Gama
Average goals per game	▲ 2.62	2.46	▲ 2.97
Both teams scored	▲ 53%	48%	▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 56%	44%	▲ 56%
Clean sheets	▲ 32%	30%	▼ 21%
Goal before half-time	▲ 74%	69%	▲ 79%
Goal after half-time	▲ 76%	74%	▲ 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46

Average goals per game

48%

Both teams scored

44%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

30%

Clean sheets

1.48

Home goals / game

0.99

Away goals / game

+49%

Home attack advantage

+33%

Home defensive advantage

+26%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

69%

1 goal

29%

2 goals

10%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

74%

1 goal

38%

2 goals

17%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

35'
BahiaYellow cardSantiago Ramos Mingo
45+1'
Vasco da GamaYellow cardCauan Lucas Barros da Luz
46'
Vasco da GamaSubstitutionOn: David Correa da FonsecaOff: Matheus França de Oliveira
48'
Vasco da GamaYellow cardRayan Rocha
68'
Vasco da GamaRed cardDavid Correa da Fonseca
70'
Vasco da GamaSubstitutionOn: Lucas de Freitas Molarinho ChagasOff: Arilson Edgardeline Fernandes Camati
70'
BahiaSubstitutionOn: Michel Daryl Araújo VillarOff: Jean Lucas de Souza Oliveira
73'
BahiaGoalErick da Costa FariasAssist: Ademir da Silva Santos Junior
78'
BahiaSubstitutionOn: Cauly Oliveira SouzaOff: Willian José da Silva
84'
BahiaYellow cardSantiago Ramos Mingo
84'
BahiaSubstitutionOn: Caio Alexandre Souza e SilvaOff: Erick da Costa Farias
87'
Vasco da GamaSubstitutionOn: Danilo das Neves PinheiroOff: Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz
87'
BahiaSubstitutionOn: Gabriel Lhman XavierOff: Nicolás Brian Acevedo Tabárez
90+9'
Vasco da GamaYellow cardDanilo das Neves Pinheiro

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeJefferson Ferreira de Moraes

Head-to-head

Record from Bahia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vasco da Gama. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

CR Vasco da Gama

3 : 109/24/2025

EC Bahia

FAQ

What was the result of Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

The Serie A match finished Bahia 1:0 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

Bahia score 1.35 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.47. The Serie A average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bahia's matches and 50% of Vasco da Gama's.

What form are Bahia and Vasco da Gama in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Recent form

Scoring records

BTTS and goal totals

xG and shots

First-half and second-half trends

When the teams score

League scoring profile

Head-to-head record

Stats by half

Game stats

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Shooting quality

Team form— who is in better shape?

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How often they score at least...

How often they concede at least...

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

Goal patterns

BTTS and goal count

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Over / Under - Bahia

Over / Under - Vasco da Gama

1st half

2nd half

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

Before half-time (1st half)

After half-time (2nd half)

Bahia - second-half results

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

Game profile

Bahia

Vasco da Gama

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

Teams vs league

Lineups and player events

Home team

Starting lineup

Substitutes

Away team

Starting lineup

Substitutes

Match timeline

Referee and managers

Head-to-head

FAQ