Bahia vs Vitória: match statistics
Bahia shows significantly better form, occupying 3rd place in the table and winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall. Vitória sits in 16th position with a record of one win and two losses this season, and their away form is disastrous - a 100% loss rate on the road. The hosts have the edge in expected goals (xG 1.84 vs the visitors' 1.08 away) and better offensive efficiency. Vitória concedes an average of 5 goals per away match, which, combined with Bahia's solid offense (12 goals in the last 5 matches), indicates a high probability of a home victory. The quality gap between the teams, backed by statistics, unequivocally favors Bahia in this clash.
Bahia vs Vitória: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bahia played against Vitória in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on March 11, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Bahia has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.33 points per game. Vitória has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Bahia scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.67. Vitória scores 1.33 and allows 2.33. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Bahia's games and 67% of Vitória's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 69% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vitória has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.34 per game. Bahia takes 12.7 shots per game, while Vitória takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Bahia leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Vitória leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Vitória, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 69% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia shows significantly better form, occupying 3rd place in the table and winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall. Vitória sits in 16th position with a record of one win and two losses this season, and their away form is disastrous - a 100% loss rate on the road. The hosts have the edge in expected goals (xG 1.84 vs the visitors' 1.08 away) and better offensive efficiency. Vitória concedes an average of 5 goals per away match, which, combined with Bahia's solid offense (12 goals in the last 5 matches), indicates a high probability of a home victory. The quality gap between the teams, backed by statistics, unequivocally favors Bahia in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bahia is 133% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / game - Bahia · 1 pts / game - Vitória
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 248% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Bahia · 2.33 goals / game - Vitória
Bahia scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Vitória scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahia
Over / Under - Vitória
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 506% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Bahia · 0.33 pts / game - Vitória
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Vitória - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bahia
Vitória
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 15% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Bahia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vitória. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahia vs Vitória?
The Serie A match finished Bahia 1:1 Vitória. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Vitória?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1, Vitória won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Vitória?
Bahia score 1.33 goals per game on average and Vitória 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Bahia's matches and 67% of Vitória's.
What form are Bahia and Vitória in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Vitória 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Vitória?
The statistical background for Bahia vs Vitória — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.