Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Caernarfon Town clearly outperforms Bala Town in terms of form and efficiency. The visitors sit 5th in the table boasting a positive away goal difference (+6), while the hosts languish in 9th place with a negative home record (-4). Caernarfon averages 2 goals per away game with an 18% shot conversion rate—double the hosts' 10%. Bala Town has failed to score in 40% of their home fixtures and holds a mere 20% home win rate. Recent form also favors the visitors, averaging 1.4 points per game in their last 5 outings compared to just 0.8 for the hosts. Superior average possession (50% vs 40%) and better xG stats (1.41 vs 1.1) further validate Caernarfon Town's advantage, making their victory the most probable outcome.
Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bala Town played against Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on December 31, 2025. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Bala Town has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Caernarfon Town has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Bala Town scores 0.74 goals per game and allows 1.42. Caernarfon Town scores 2.05 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 32% of Bala Town's games and 75% of Caernarfon Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 65%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caernarfon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.11 per game. Bala Town takes 8.2 shots per game, while Caernarfon Town takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Bala Town leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.32 goals per game after halftime. Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.45 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bala Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Caernarfon Town, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caernarfon Town clearly outperforms Bala Town in terms of form and efficiency. The visitors sit 5th in the table boasting a positive away goal difference (+6), while the hosts languish in 9th place with a negative home record (-4). Caernarfon averages 2 goals per away game with an 18% shot conversion rate—double the hosts' 10%. Bala Town has failed to score in 40% of their home fixtures and holds a mere 20% home win rate. Recent form also favors the visitors, averaging 1.4 points per game in their last 5 outings compared to just 0.8 for the hosts. Superior average possession (50% vs 40%) and better xG stats (1.41 vs 1.1) further validate Caernarfon Town's advantage, making their victory the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bala Town | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bala Town is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Bala Town · 0.6 pts / game - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 177% better for: goals scored per game.
0.74 goals / game - Bala Town · 2.05 goals / game - Caernarfon Town
Bala Town is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Bala Town · 1.5 goals / game - Caernarfon Town
Bala Town scores in 53% of games (10 of 19 meczów), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 meczów).
Caernarfon Town scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Bala Town keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bala Town
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caernarfon Town is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Bala Town · 1.1 pts / game - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bala Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bala Town
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bala Town | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.16 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 51% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 74% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Bala Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Caernarfon Town. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Bala Town 0:1 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Bala Town score 0.74 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 2.05. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bala Town's matches and 75% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Bala Town and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Bala Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.