Bali United vs Arema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a tendency towards a draw. Bali United shows poor home form with only a 14% win rate and a high percentage of draws (57%), confirmed by a "dwldldd" streak in recent home matches. Arema exhibits an even stronger tendency for draws away from home (71%) with a "dddwwdd" form, suggesting a defensive approach. Recent form for both teams is weak—Bali with 1.6 points per match, Arema with just 0.6 points in the last five games. A key factor is the visitors' offensive advantage (1.29 goals averaged away vs 0.43 for the hosts at home) and Arema's positive away goal difference (+2). Considering the high draw percentages for both teams in these respective conditions and their matched form, a draw is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Bali United vs Arema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bali United play Arema in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match date is 4 January 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bali United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Arema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bali United scores 1.68 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Arema scores 1.56 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bali United 53%, Arema 65%. Over 2.5: Bali United 53%, Arema 62%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Bali United has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.46. Bali United: 13.2 shots per match, Arema: 12.2.
Match halves
Bali United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.09. Arema: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Bali United: 76-90+ (17 goals). Arema: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a tendency towards a draw. Bali United shows poor home form with only a 14% win rate and a high percentage of draws (57%), confirmed by a "dwldldd" streak in recent home matches. Arema exhibits an even stronger tendency for draws away from home (71%) with a "dddwwdd" form, suggesting a defensive approach. Recent form for both teams is weak—Bali with 1.6 points per match, Arema with just 0.6 points in the last five games. A key factor is the visitors' offensive advantage (1.29 goals averaged away vs 0.43 for the hosts at home) and Arema's positive away goal difference (+2). Considering the high draw percentages for both teams in these respective conditions and their matched form, a draw is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bali United | Arema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bali United is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Bali United · 1.56 goals / match - Arema
Bali United scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Arema scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bali United
Over / Under — Arema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arema is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Bali United · 1.41 pts / match - Arema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bali United
Arema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Bali United | Liga | Arema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.80 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bali United 1 - 0 - 0 Arema. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bali United vs Arema?
The Liga 1 match finished Bali United 1:0 Arema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bali United vs Arema?
Bali United score 1.68 goals per game on average and Arema 1.56. The Liga 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bali United's matches and 65% of Arema's.
What form are Bali United and Arema in?
Over the last 5 games Bali United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Arema 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bali United vs Arema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bali United vs Arema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.