Bali United vs Arema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a tendency towards a draw. Bali United shows poor home form with only a 14% win rate and a high percentage of draws (57%), confirmed by a "dwldldd" streak in recent home matches. Arema exhibits an even stronger tendency for draws away from home (71%) with a "dddwwdd" form, suggesting a defensive approach. Recent form for both teams is weak—Bali with 1.6 points per match, Arema with just 0.6 points in the last five games. A key factor is the visitors' offensive advantage (1.29 goals averaged away vs 0.43 for the hosts at home) and Arema's positive away goal difference (+2). Considering the high draw percentages for both teams in these respective conditions and their matched form, a draw is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Bali United vs Arema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bali United played against Arema in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Bali United has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Arema has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Bali United scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 1.20. Arema scores 1.40 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Bali United's games and 87% of Arema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bali United has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.39 per game. Bali United takes 13.3 shots per game, while Arema takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Bali United leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Arema leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.87 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bali United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Arema, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 1 games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest with a tendency towards a draw. Bali United shows poor home form with only a 14% win rate and a high percentage of draws (57%), confirmed by a "dwldldd" streak in recent home matches. Arema exhibits an even stronger tendency for draws away from home (71%) with a "dddwwdd" form, suggesting a defensive approach. Recent form for both teams is weak—Bali with 1.6 points per match, Arema with just 0.6 points in the last five games. A key factor is the visitors' offensive advantage (1.29 goals averaged away vs 0.43 for the hosts at home) and Arema's positive away goal difference (+2). Considering the high draw percentages for both teams in these respective conditions and their matched form, a draw is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bali United | Arema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bali United is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Bali United · 0.6 pts / game - Arema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arema is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.27 goals / game - Bali United · 1.4 goals / game - Arema
Bali United is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Bali United · 1.4 goals / game - Arema
Bali United scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 meczów).
Arema scores in 87% of games (13 of 15 meczów), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bali United
Over / Under - Arema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arema is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Bali United · 1.33 pts / game - Arema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Arema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bali United
Arema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Bali United | Liga | Arema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.47 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 87% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 25% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Bali United vs Arema?
The Liga 1 match finished Bali United 1:0 Arema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bali United vs Arema?
Bali United score 1.27 goals per game on average and Arema 1.40. The Liga 1 average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bali United's matches and 87% of Arema's.
What form are Bali United and Arema in?
Over the last 5 games Bali United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Arema 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bali United vs Arema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bali United vs Arema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.